87 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Christian Moore
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.249); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .062HR 0R 0RBI 4SB 0
Moore is a hold — league average, and the strikeouts cap the floor.
ROS projects AVG .143 YTD → .062 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.249)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.6 mphvs his norm —
55 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.8%vs his norm —
55 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm +0.4% ▲Barrel % is above his ~6.9% norm — expect it to fall.
55 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.249
lg avg .315 ▼−.066vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
87 / 160 PA
wOBA.232
lg avg .315 ▼−.083vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
87 / 200 PA
Strikeout %29.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.9%vs his norm —
87 / 60 PA
Walk %5.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
87 / 120 PA
BABIP.259
lg avg .295 ▼−.036vs his norm −.007 ▼BABIP is below his ~.266 norm — expect it to rise.
55 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.3%vs his norm —
87 / 50 PA
Chase %27.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
87 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.3%→7.0%noise0 HR — Barrel% 7.3% (noise) tempered to career ~6.9% → projected 7.0%.
BABIP 0.259→0.372 regressednoise.062 AVG — BABIP 0.259 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.380 (xBA 0.209) → 0.372.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~35 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~35 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~35 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.