147 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Christian Moore
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 33% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.254); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Moore is a hold — average skill, and the strikeouts cap him.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .143 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %9.2%—+2.3% ▲vs his ~6.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.254)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.6 mphvs his norm —
87 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —
87 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm +2.3% ▲
87 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.254
lg avg .315 ▼−.061vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
147 / 160 PA
wOBA.239
lg avg .315 ▼−.076vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
147 / 200 PA
Strikeout %32.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+10.7%vs his norm —
147 / 60 PA
Walk %7.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —
147 / 120 PA
BABIP.271
lg avg .295 ▼−.024vs his norm +.005 ▲BABIP is above his ~.266 norm — expect it to fall.
87 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.1%vs his norm —
147 / 50 PA
Chase %31.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
147 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.2%→7.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 9.2% (signal) tempered to career ~6.9% → projected 7.6%.
BABIP 0.271→0.368 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.271 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.380 (xBA 0.194) → 0.368.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.