CJ Abrams

Abrams is a buy — his elite xwOBA is no fluke.

His expected wOBA sits at .372, 57 points above league average, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be fully reliable. His actual wOBA of .401 is slightly higher, but the gap is small and mostly earned — not a luck-driven mirage. The contact quality driving the production is excellent: a barrel rate of 11.1% and a hard-hit rate of 40.9%, both above league norms and stable after 171 batted ball events. The trajectory is also encouraging, with his hard-hit rate and xwOBA both stepping up across the sample. He strikes out a little below league average and walks more than average, giving the profile a solid floor. The skill is real and there is nothing unstable about it. Buy.