MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Cole Young
384 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Cole Young

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.330); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSAVG .252HR 3R 21RBI 24SB 2

Young is a hold — league-average skill with no edge.

His expected wOBA sits at .330, just above the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .312, nearly matching the league average, with no luck story driving it. Contact quality is also near league averages: 88.6 mph exit velo, 39% hard-hit rate, and a 5% barrel rate — all within a few points of the mean. The xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample, which is a mild positive, but it has not broken away from the pack. His strikeout rate is below league at 18.2%, and his walk rate is slightly below. There is no clear signal to buy and no clear signal to sell. If you own him, the line is what it is. Hold. 3 HR / 21 R / 24 RBI / 2 SB / .252 AVG isn't a must-add; this is a streaming-only hold in deep leagues.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %5.0%−0.6%vs his ~5.6% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.330)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.6 mph
88.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −0.4 mphvs his norm —
282 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.0%
39.0%*
lg avg 40.0% −1.0%vs his norm —
282 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.0%
norm5.0%*
lg avg 8.0% −3.0%vs his norm −0.6%
282 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.330
.330*
lg avg .315 +.015vs his norm —
384 / 160 PA
wOBA.312
.312*
lg avg .315 −.003vs his norm —
384 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.2%
18.2%*
lg avg 22.0% −3.8%vs his norm —
384 / 60 PA
Walk %6.5%
6.5%*
lg avg 8.5% −2.0%vs his norm —
384 / 120 PA
BABIP.285
norm.285*
lg avg .295 −.010vs his norm +.038 BABIP is above his ~.247 normexpect it to fall.
282 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.6%
9.6%*
lg avg 11.0% −1.4%vs his norm —
384 / 50 PA
Chase %30.6%
30.6%*
lg avg 28.5% +2.1%vs his norm —
384 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.0%→5.2%signal3 HR — Barrel% 5.0% (signal) lifted to career ~5.6% → projected 5.2%.
BABIP 0.285→0.315 regressednoise.252 AVG — BABIP 0.285 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.331 (xBA 0.275) → 0.315.
on-base + lineup21 R — his run rate over ~192 projected PA.
slugging + lineup24 RBI — his RBI rate over ~192 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (2 in 61 G) over ~192 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups