MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
258 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Cooper Pratt

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.314) — BABIP 0.330 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Pratt is a hold — league average with a BABIP note.

His expected wOBA is .314, within a point of the league average of .315, and he has 258 plate appearances — past the 160 needed for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .319, essentially the same, so nothing is hiding underneath. He does not swing and miss much: a 9.7% swinging-strike rate and a 17.8% strikeout rate, both better than league. The one bit of noise is his BABIP, .330 against a league average of .295. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable and he has 185, so some of that average is likely to come down. There is no baseline or trajectory to lean on here — this is a limited-data call on the first stable sample. Hold.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.314)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.2 mph
87.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.8 mphvs his norm —
185 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %27.6%
27.6%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−12.4%vs his norm —
185 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.2%
3.2%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.8%vs his norm —
185 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.314
.314*
lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —
258 / 160 PA
wOBA.319
.319*
lg avg .315 ▲+.004vs his norm —
258 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.8%
17.8%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —
258 / 60 PA
Walk %9.7%
9.7%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
258 / 120 PA
BABIP.330
.330*
lg avg .295 ▲+.035vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
185 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.7%
9.7%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
258 / 50 PA
Chase %29.5%
29.5%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
258 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.2%→4.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.2% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 4.2%.
BABIP 0.330→0.362 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.330 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.371 (xBA 0.265) → 0.362.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 2 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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