MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Daylen Lile
403 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Daylen Lile

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.316); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSHR 4AVG .241R 27RBI 21SB 3

Lile is a hold — league average, stable, no edge either way.

His xwOBA is .316, essentially league average, and he has 403 plate appearances — well past the 160 needed to trust it. His actual wOBA tracks close at .304. The contact metrics sit at or slightly below league norms: hard-hit rate 35.1% (40% league), exit velo 88.0 mph (89.0 league), barrel rate 7.6% (8.0 league). Nothing stands out as a skill to buy or a crack to sell. There is no luck story — no elevated BABIP inflating his line, no suppressed one hiding it. His xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample, but it still lands near average. If you own him, the roster spot is static. If you don't, there is no edge here. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %7.6%+2.4%vs his ~5.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.316)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.0 mph
88.0 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.0 mphvs his norm —
303 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.1%
35.1%*
lg avg 40.0% −4.9%vs his norm —
303 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.6%
norm7.6%*
lg avg 8.0% −0.4%vs his norm +2.4%
303 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.316
.316*
lg avg .315 +.001vs his norm —
403 / 160 PA
wOBA.304
.304*
lg avg .315 −.011vs his norm —
403 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.6%
17.6%*
lg avg 22.0% −4.4%vs his norm —
403 / 60 PA
Walk %6.0%
6.0%*
lg avg 8.5% −2.5%vs his norm —
403 / 120 PA
BABIP.276
norm.276*
lg avg .295 −.019vs his norm −.060 BABIP is below his ~.336 normexpect it to rise.
303 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.2%
12.2%*
lg avg 11.0% +1.2%vs his norm —
403 / 50 PA
Chase %37.5%
37.5%*
lg avg 28.5% +9.0%vs his norm —
403 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.6%→6.6%signal4 HR — Barrel% 7.6% (signal) tempered to career ~5.2% → projected 6.6%.
BABIP 0.276→0.282 regressednoise.241 AVG — BABIP 0.276 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.286 (xBA 0.256) → 0.282.
on-base + lineup27 R — his run rate over ~202 projected PA.
slugging + lineup21 RBI — his RBI rate over ~202 projected PA.
run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (4 in 62 G) over ~202 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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