MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Daylen Lile
599 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Daylen Lile

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.327); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSAVG .242HR 1R 6RBI 5SB 1

Lile is a hold — league average, stable, and stepping up.

His expected wOBA is .327, .012 above the league average of .315, and his sample of 599 plate appearances is well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .321, tracking right with it — no luck is inflating or dragging the line. The contact quality is roughly league average: 88.7 mph average exit velocity, 38.3% hard-hit, and 9.2% barrels, all close to the league marks, all reliable at 437 batted balls. What stands out is the trajectory: his expected wOBA has stepped up across the sample. He strikes out 19.7% of the time, slightly better than league, but his 6.3% walk rate and 38% chase rate are worse, and those two pull in opposite directions. There is no unstable stat to buy or sell. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %9.2%+4.0%vs his ~5.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.327)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.7 mph
88.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −0.3 mphvs his norm —
437 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.3%
38.3%*
lg avg 40.0% −1.7%vs his norm —
437 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.2%
norm9.2%*
lg avg 8.0% +1.2%vs his norm +4.0%
437 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.327
.327*
lg avg .315 +.012vs his norm —
599 / 160 PA
wOBA.321
.321*
lg avg .315 +.006vs his norm —
599 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.7%
19.7%*
lg avg 22.0% −2.3%vs his norm —
599 / 60 PA
Walk %6.3%
6.3%*
lg avg 8.5% −2.2%vs his norm —
599 / 120 PA
BABIP.285
norm.285*
lg avg .295 −.010vs his norm −.051 BABIP is below his ~.336 normexpect it to rise.
437 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.0%
13.0%*
lg avg 11.0% +2.0%vs his norm —
599 / 50 PA
Chase %38.0%
38.0%*
lg avg 28.5% +9.5%vs his norm —
599 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.2%→7.9%signal1 HR — Barrel% 9.2% (signal) tempered to career ~5.2% → projected 7.9%.
BABIP 0.285→0.287 regressednoise.242 AVG — BABIP 0.285 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.289 (xBA 0.258) → 0.287.
on-base + lineup6 R — his run rate over ~45 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~45 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (4 in 62 G) over ~45 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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