MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Daylen Lile
655 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Daylen Lile

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.324); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Lile is a hold — average skill, nothing unstable behind it

His expected wOBA is .324 through 655 plate appearances, which is close enough to the .315 league average that there is no edge to buy and no flaw to sell. His actual wOBA of .312 lands in the same place, so luck is not propping up his line or dragging it down. His expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample, and there is some real contact quality underneath: a 9.5% barrel rate against an 8.0% league average. The rest of the profile is a wash. His exit velocity (88.6 mph) and hard-hit rate (38.0%) sit just under league, while his 19.4% strikeout rate is better than average and his walk rate is a touch low. The one thing worth watching is the 13.2% swing-and-miss rate and a 38.5% chase rate, both above league. Nothing here forces a move. Hold. The ROS line reads 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG — a drop-tier, waiver-wire fringe piece, deep-league only.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %9.5%—+4.3% ▲vs his ~5.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.324)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.6 mph
88.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.4 mphvs his norm —
482 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.0%
38.0%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —
482 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.5%
norm9.5%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm +4.3% ▲
482 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.324
.324*
lg avg .315 ▲+.009vs his norm —
655 / 160 PA
wOBA.312
.312*
lg avg .315 ▼−.003vs his norm —
655 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.4%
19.4%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
655 / 60 PA
Walk %6.1%
6.1%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —
655 / 120 PA
BABIP.274
norm.274*
lg avg .295 ▼−.021vs his norm −.062 ▼BABIP is below his ~.336 norm — expect it to rise.
482 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.2%
13.2%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.2%vs his norm —
655 / 50 PA
Chase %38.5%
38.5%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+10.0%vs his norm —
655 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.5%→8.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 9.5% (signal) tempered to career ~5.2% → projected 8.2%.
BABIP 0.274→0.278 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.274 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.285 (xBA 0.255) → 0.278.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (4 in 62 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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