138 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Denzer Guzman
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.276); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .246R 0RBI 0SB 0
Guzman is a hold — league-average skill with limited data.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .000 YTD → .246 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.276)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.9 mphvs his norm —
93 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.5%vs his norm —
93 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
93 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.276
lg avg .315 ▼−.039vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
138 / 160 PA
wOBA.286
lg avg .315 ▼−.029vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
138 / 200 PA
Strikeout %26.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —
138 / 60 PA
Walk %5.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —
138 / 120 PA
BABIP.303
lg avg .295 ▲+.008vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
93 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.2%vs his norm —
138 / 50 PA
Chase %34.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.9%vs his norm —
138 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.4%→5.9%signal2 HR — Barrel% 5.4% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 5.9%.
BABIP 0.303→0.303 regressednoise.246 AVG — BABIP 0.303 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.303 (xBA 0.236) → 0.303.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~130 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~130 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~130 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.