137 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Drew Cavanaugh
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.319); BABIP 0.358 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .263R 0RBI 0SB 0
Cavanaugh is a hold — nothing here is stable enough to move on.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .167 YTD → .263 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.319)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.358 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.8 mphvs his norm —
84 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %29.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.2%vs his norm —
84 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
84 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.319
lg avg .315 ▲+.004vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
137 / 160 PA
wOBA.279
lg avg .315 ▼−.036vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
137 / 200 PA
Strikeout %27.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.7%vs his norm —
137 / 60 PA
Walk %10.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.4%vs his norm —
137 / 120 PA
BABIP.358
lg avg .295 ▲+.063vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
84 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.2%vs his norm —
137 / 50 PA
Chase %28.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
137 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.8%→5.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.8% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 5.4%.
BABIP 0.358→0.306 regressednoise.263 AVG — BABIP 0.358 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.300 (xBA 0.257) → 0.306.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~33 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~33 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~33 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.