MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Drew Millas
152 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Drew Millas

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.266); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .186R 20RBI 13SB 0

Millas is a hold — league average with limited data.

ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .174 YTD → .186 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %3.1%+0.8%vs his ~2.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.266)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo83.6 mph
83.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −5.4 mphvs his norm —
96 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %21.9%
21.9%*
lg avg 40.0% −18.1%vs his norm —
96 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.1%
norm3.1%*
lg avg 8.0% −4.9%vs his norm +0.8%
96 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.266
.266*
lg avg .315 −.049vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
152 / 160 PA
wOBA.251
.251*
lg avg .315 −.064vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
152 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.3%
24.3%*
lg avg 22.0% +2.3%vs his norm —
152 / 60 PA
Walk %9.2%
9.2%*
lg avg 8.5% +0.7%vs his norm —
152 / 120 PA
BABIP.239
norm.239*
lg avg .295 −.056vs his norm −.098 BABIP is below his ~.337 normexpect it to rise.
96 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.4%
10.4%*
lg avg 11.0% −0.6%vs his norm —
152 / 50 PA
Chase %28.8%
28.8%*
lg avg 28.5% +0.3%vs his norm —
152 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.1%→2.6%signal1 HR — Barrel% 3.1% (signal) tempered to career ~2.3% → projected 2.6%.
BABIP 0.239→0.241 regressednoise.186 AVG — BABIP 0.239 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.241 (xBA 0.204) → 0.241.
on-base + lineup20 R — his run rate over ~149 projected PA.
slugging + lineup13 RBI — his RBI rate over ~149 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 37 G) over ~149 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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