MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
82 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Dustin Harris

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.310); BABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .269R 4RBI 3SB 2

Harris is a hold — nothing pulling either way yet.

ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .245 YTD → .269 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.310)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.2 mph
85.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −3.8 mphvs his norm —
62 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %17.7%
17.7%*
lg avg 40.0% −22.3%vs his norm —
62 / 50 BBE
Barrel %0.0%
0.0%*
lg avg 8.0% −8.0%vs his norm —
62 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.310
.310*
lg avg .315 −.005vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
82 / 160 PA
wOBA.300
.300*
lg avg .315 −.015vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
82 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.6%
14.6%*
lg avg 22.0% −7.4%vs his norm —
82 / 60 PA
Walk %8.5%
8.5%*
lg avg 8.5% 0.0%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league averageexpect it to rise.
82 / 120 PA
BABIP.317
.317*
lg avg .295 +.022vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league averageexpect it to fall.
62 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.1%
9.1%*
lg avg 11.0% −1.9%vs his norm —
82 / 50 PA
Chase %32.9%
32.9%*
lg avg 28.5% +4.4%vs his norm —
82 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 0.0%→1.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 0.0% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 1.6%.
BABIP 0.317→0.318 regressednoise.269 AVG — BABIP 0.317 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.318 (xBA 0.275) → 0.318.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~33 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~33 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (4 in 19 G) over ~33 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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