71 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Everson Pereira
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.313); BABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 6AVG .209R 24RBI 24SB 3
Pereira is a hold — league average with nothing to chase.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 6 ROS, AVG .250 YTD → .209 ROS, R 7 YTD → 24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.313)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.2 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
44 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.2%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is above the ~40.0% league average — expect it to fall.
44 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.4%vs his norm +3.7% ▲Barrel % is above his ~7.7% norm — expect it to fall.
44 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.313
lg avg .315 ▼−.002vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
71 / 160 PA
wOBA.332
lg avg .315 ▲+.017vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
71 / 200 PA
Strikeout %29.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.6%vs his norm —
71 / 60 PA
Walk %5.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.9%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
71 / 120 PA
BABIP.317
lg avg .295 ▲+.022vs his norm +.081 ▲BABIP is above his ~.236 norm — expect it to fall.
44 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.4%→8.3%noise6 HR — Barrel% 11.4% (noise) tempered to career ~7.7% → projected 8.3%.
BABIP 0.317→0.284 regressednoise.209 AVG — BABIP 0.317 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.282 (xBA 0.232) → 0.284.
on-base + lineup24 R — his run rate over ~244 projected PA.
slugging + lineup24 RBI — his RBI rate over ~244 projected PA.
run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (1 in 18 G) over ~244 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.