77 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Everson Pereira
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.302); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .192HR 2R 13RBI 13SB 2
Pereira is a hold — league average, high-K floor, wait.
ROS projects AVG .250 YTD → .192 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.302)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.1 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
47 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %42.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is above the ~40.0% league average — expect it to fall.
47 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.6%vs his norm +2.9% ▲Barrel % is above his ~7.7% norm — expect it to fall.
47 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.302
lg avg .315 ▼−.013vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
77 / 160 PA
wOBA.313
lg avg .315 ▼−.002vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
77 / 200 PA
Strikeout %29.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.9%vs his norm —
77 / 60 PA
Walk %6.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
77 / 120 PA
BABIP.295
lg avg .295 .000vs his norm +.059 ▲BABIP is above his ~.236 norm — expect it to fall.
47 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %22.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+11.1%vs his norm —
77 / 50 PA
Chase %40.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+12.3%vs his norm —
77 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.6%→8.2%noise2 HR — Barrel% 10.6% (noise) tempered to career ~7.7% → projected 8.2%.
BABIP 0.295→0.265 regressednoise.192 AVG — BABIP 0.295 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.263 (xBA 0.220) → 0.265.
on-base + lineup13 R — his run rate over ~132 projected PA.
slugging + lineup13 RBI — his RBI rate over ~132 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (1 in 18 G) over ~132 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.