254 PA · week 25
this weekBUY
last weekHOLD
Gary Sánchez
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026
Buy stable xwOBA 0.344, +0.029 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.66 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .188R 5RBI 5SB 0
Sanchez is a buy — the skill has climbed above league.
Stable, above-average skill with no luck propping it up. Buy.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %8.5%—−4.1% ▼vs his ~12.6% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.344, +0.029 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.0 mphvs his norm —
153 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —
153 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm −4.1% ▼
153 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.344
lg avg .315 ▲+.029vs his norm —
254 / 160 PA
wOBA.349
lg avg .315 ▲+.034vs his norm —
254 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.1%vs his norm —
254 / 60 PA
Walk %17.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+9.2%vs his norm —
254 / 120 PA
BABIP.225
lg avg .295 ▼−.070vs his norm −.009 ▼BABIP is below his ~.234 norm — expect it to rise.
153 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —
254 / 50 PA
Chase %22.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−6.3%vs his norm —
254 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.5%→10.8%signal1 HR — Barrel% 8.5% (signal) lifted to career ~12.6% → projected 10.8%.
BABIP 0.225→0.230 regressednoise.188 AVG — BABIP 0.225 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.232 (xBA 0.223) → 0.230.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~37 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~37 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 34 G) over ~37 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.