Is George Lombard Jr. a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is George Lombard Jr.'s rest-of-season outlook?

87 mph exit velo and 26.5% Ks; no contact carrying it

166 PA · week 27

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

George Lombard Jr.

NYY·SS

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27

flipped from HOLD on September 27, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.58

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Lombard is a sell — the bat is below league and not unlucky.

His expected wOBA is .298, and it has been stepping down as the sample has grown. The skill is below league average and there is no luck story to soften it — his BABIP has not handed him a line that the contact quality does not back. His average exit velocity is 87.1 mph, two mph below league, and his hard-hit rate is 35.1% against a league average of 40.0%. His sample is past the point where these numbers become reliable. The one thing he does well is avoid chasing, with a 27.2% chase rate, but that plate discipline has not turned into production. The barrel rate is league average and nothing else stands out. The line is what it is. Sell. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG makes him waiver-wire fodder — a drop, not even a deep-league streamer.

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo87.1 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.9 mphvs his norm —

111 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %35.1%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.9%vs his norm —

111 / 50 BBE

Barrel %8.1%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —

111 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.298

lg avg .315 ▼−.017vs his norm —

166 / 160 PA

wOBA.304

lg avg .315 ▼−.011vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.

166 / 200 PA

Strikeout %26.5%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.5%vs his norm —

166 / 60 PA

Walk %6.0%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —

166 / 120 PA

BABIP.282

lg avg .295 ▼−.013vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.

111 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —

166 / 50 PA

Chase %27.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —

166 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 8.1%→8.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 8.1% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 8.1%.

BABIP 0.282→0.237 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.282 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.240) → 0.237.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons