74 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Grant McCray
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.323); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .246HR 0R 22RBI 0SB 22
McCray is a hold — too early to trust, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects AVG .000 YTD → .246 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.323)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.9 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
44 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %29.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.5%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is below the ~40.0% league average — expect it to rise.
44 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.4%vs his norm −0.4% ▼Barrel % is below his ~11.8% norm — expect it to rise.
44 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.323
lg avg .315 ▲+.008vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
74 / 160 PA
wOBA.253
lg avg .315 ▼−.062vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
74 / 200 PA
Strikeout %27.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.0%vs his norm —
74 / 60 PA
Walk %13.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+5.0%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
74 / 120 PA
BABIP.179
lg avg .295 ▼−.116vs his norm −.114 ▼BABIP is below his ~.293 norm — expect it to rise.
44 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
74 / 50 PA
Chase %26.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.6%vs his norm —
74 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.4%→11.7%noise0 HR — Barrel% 11.4% (noise) lifted to career ~11.8% → projected 11.7%.
BABIP 0.179→0.229 regressednoise.246 AVG — BABIP 0.179 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.232 (xBA 0.232) → 0.229.
on-base + lineup22 R — his run rate over ~22 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~22 projected PA.
run rate / role22 SB — his steal rate (1 in 1 G) over ~22 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.