MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
97 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Harry Ford

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.289); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .157R 21RBI 21SB 0

Ford is a hold — league-average bat, and the sample isn't there yet.

ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .400 YTD → .157 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.289)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo84.1 mph
84.1 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −4.9 mphvs his norm —
60 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.3%
33.3%*
lg avg 40.0% −6.7%vs his norm —
60 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.7%
believable since Sep 911.7%*
lg avg 8.0% +3.7%vs his norm —
60 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.289
.289*
lg avg .315 −.026vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
97 / 160 PA
wOBA.307
.307*
lg avg .315 −.008vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
97 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.7%
23.7%*
lg avg 22.0% +1.7%vs his norm —
97 / 60 PA
Walk %13.4%
13.4%*
lg avg 8.5% +4.9%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league averageexpect it to fall.
97 / 120 PA
BABIP.228
.228*
lg avg .295 −.067vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league averageexpect it to rise.
60 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.0%
11.0%*
lg avg 11.0% +0.0%vs his norm —
97 / 50 PA
Chase %18.0%
18.0%*
lg avg 28.5% −10.5%vs his norm —
97 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.7%→11.0%signal1 HR — Barrel% 11.7% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 11.0%.
BABIP 0.228→0.230 regressednoise.157 AVG — BABIP 0.228 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.181) → 0.230.
on-base + lineup21 R — his run rate over ~43 projected PA.
slugging + lineup21 RBI — his RBI rate over ~43 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~43 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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