MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
442 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Heliot Ramos

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.329) — BABIP 0.316 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Ramos is a hold — average skill, nothing pulling either way.

His expected wOBA is .329, .014 above the league average of .315, and his actual wOBA of .312 is essentially league average too. Those two numbers being that close means what he has gotten is what his contact has earned — no luck story to sell and no bad luck to buy. His expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample, which is the one thing moving in the right direction. His BABIP is .316 against a league average of .295, and BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable while he has 285. Some of that batting average will come back down. The strikeout rate of 27.4% is high, and so is his swinging-strike rate of 14.8%, so his average will run cold in some weeks. Nothing here to chase. Hold. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG is a drop — fringe counting drag, streaming-only until the bat actually shows up.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %13.7%—+2.4% ▲vs his ~11.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.329)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.316 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo92.2 mph
92.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+3.2 mphvs his norm —
285 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %48.4%
48.4%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.4%vs his norm —
285 / 50 BBE
Barrel %13.7%
norm13.7%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.7%vs his norm +2.4% ▲
285 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.329
.329*
lg avg .315 ▲+.014vs his norm —
442 / 160 PA
wOBA.312
.312*
lg avg .315 ▼−.003vs his norm —
442 / 200 PA
Strikeout %27.4%
27.4%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.4%vs his norm —
442 / 60 PA
Walk %7.0%
7.0%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
442 / 120 PA
BABIP.316
norm.316*
lg avg .295 ▲+.021vs his norm +.001 ▲BABIP is above his ~.315 norm — expect it to fall.
285 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.8%
14.8%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.8%vs his norm —
442 / 50 PA
Chase %33.1%
33.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.6%vs his norm —
442 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 13.7%→12.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 13.7% (signal) tempered to career ~11.3% → projected 12.7%.
BABIP 0.316→0.323 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.316 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.327 (xBA 0.256) → 0.323.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 44 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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