MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 13, 2026
176 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—

Heliot Ramos

SF·LF
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.326) — BABIP 0.348 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSHR 11AVG .274R 32RBI 33SB 0

Ramos is a hold — league average, stable, no edge either way.

His expected wOBA is .326, essentially league average, and he is past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual line might look a bit better because his BABIP is .348 — above the .295 league average — but BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to stabilize, and he has 119. Some of that average is likely to regress. His contact quality is genuinely above average: 92.0 mph exit velocity, 48.7% hard-hit rate, 13.4% barrel rate, all stable with sample sizes past their thresholds. But the strikeout rate is 26.7%, a tick high, and the walk rate is 5.7%, a tick low. There is no buy signal and no sell signal. Hold. 11 HR, 32 R, 33 RBI, .274 AVG but 0 SB make him a deep-league hold; no need to cut or chase.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %13.4%—+2.1% ▲vs his ~11.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.326)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.348 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo92.0 mph
92.0 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+3.0 mphvs his norm —
119 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %48.7%
48.7%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.7%vs his norm —
119 / 50 BBE
Barrel %13.4%
norm13.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.4%vs his norm +2.1% ▲
119 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.326
.326*
lg avg .315 ▲+.011vs his norm —
176 / 160 PA
wOBA.318
.318*
lg avg .315 ▲+.003vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
176 / 200 PA
Strikeout %26.7%
26.7%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —
176 / 60 PA
Walk %5.7%
5.7%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —
176 / 120 PA
BABIP.348
norm.348*
lg avg .295 ▲+.053vs his norm +.033 ▲BABIP is above his ~.315 norm — expect it to fall.
119 / 800 BIP

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 13.4%→12.1%signal11 HR — Barrel% 13.4% (signal) tempered to career ~11.3% → projected 12.1%.
BABIP 0.348→0.347 regressednoise.274 AVG — BABIP 0.348 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.347 (xBA 0.270) → 0.347.
on-base + lineup32 R — his run rate over ~293 projected PA.
slugging + lineup33 RBI — his RBI rate over ~293 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 44 G) over ~293 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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