MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Jacob Young
432 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Jacob Young

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.317); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSAVG .232HR 0R 5RBI 5SB 1

Young is a hold — the skill and the line both say average.

His expected wOBA is .317, two points above the league average of .315, and he has 432 plate appearances — well past the 160 needed for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .314, so the surface is tracking the skill almost exactly; nothing in the profile is being propped up or dragged down. The contact numbers lean light: 87.7 mph average exit velocity and a 30.9% hard-hit rate, both under league, though his expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample. He offsets that with a 16.7% strikeout rate, five points better than league. The line is neither lucky nor unlucky — this is roughly the level he's at. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %5.9%+4.4%vs his ~1.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.317)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.7 mph
87.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.3 mphvs his norm —
320 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %30.9%
30.9%*
lg avg 40.0% −9.1%vs his norm —
320 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.9%
norm5.9%*
lg avg 8.0% −2.1%vs his norm +4.4%
320 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.317
.317*
lg avg .315 +.002vs his norm —
432 / 160 PA
wOBA.314
believable since May 31.314*
lg avg .315 −.001vs his norm —
432 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.7%
16.7%*
lg avg 22.0% −5.3%vs his norm —
432 / 60 PA
Walk %7.4%
7.4%*
lg avg 8.5% −1.1%vs his norm —
432 / 120 PA
BABIP.281
norm.281*
lg avg .295 −.014vs his norm −.025 BABIP is below his ~.306 normexpect it to rise.
320 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.3%
9.3%*
lg avg 11.0% −1.7%vs his norm —
432 / 50 PA
Chase %27.2%
27.2%*
lg avg 28.5% −1.3%vs his norm —
432 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.9%→4.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 5.9% (signal) tempered to career ~1.5% → projected 4.2%.
BABIP 0.281→0.277 regressednoise.232 AVG — BABIP 0.281 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.274 (xBA 0.258) → 0.277.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~40 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~40 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (4 in 59 G) over ~40 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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