Is Jake Cronenworth a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Jake Cronenworth's rest-of-season outlook?

29% hard-hit and a 3.6% barrel rate — no pop left.

416 PA · week 27

this weekSELL

last weekSELL

Jake Cronenworth

SD·2B

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27

Sell stable xwOBA 0.270 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.64

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Cronenworth is a sell — the bat is below league and drifting down.

His expected wOBA is .270, 45 points below the league average of .315, and he has 416 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. Nothing on the line says he has been unlucky: his actual wOBA is .283, sitting right with the expected mark, and his walk and strikeout rates are both league average. The contact quality is the problem. He is averaging 87.1 mph off the bat, two mph below league, with a 29% hard-hit rate and 3.6% barrels against league marks of 40% and 8%. He has enough batted balls to trust all three, and his expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample. This is the level he is at. Sell. With a 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG rest-of-season line, he is a drop — waiver fodder, not a hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %3.6%—−2.7% ▼vs his ~6.3% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.270 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo87.1 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.9 mphvs his norm —

279 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %29.0%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−11.0%vs his norm —

279 / 50 BBE

Barrel %3.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.4%vs his norm −2.7% ▼

279 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.270

lg avg .315 ▼−.045vs his norm —

416 / 160 PA

wOBA.283

lg avg .315 ▼−.032vs his norm —

416 / 200 PA

Strikeout %22.8%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —

416 / 60 PA

Walk %8.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.2%vs his norm —

416 / 120 PA

BABIP.283

lg avg .295 ▼−.012vs his norm +.004 ▲BABIP is above his ~.279 norm — expect it to fall.

279 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %9.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —

416 / 50 PA

Chase %29.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.7%vs his norm —

416 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 3.6%→4.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.6% (signal) lifted to career ~6.3% → projected 4.7%.

BABIP 0.283→0.265 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.283 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.255 (xBA 0.211) → 0.265.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 32 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons