Is Jasson Domínguez a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Jasson Domínguez's rest-of-season outlook?

.289 xwOBA with a 5.6% barrel rate — no pop.

222 PA · week 27

this weekSELL

last week—

Jasson Domínguez

NYY·RF

data as of September 30, 2026·week 27

Sell stable xwOBA 0.289 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.60

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Domínguez is a sell — his skill is below league with no luck excuse.

His expected wOBA is .289, .026 below the league average of .315, and his sample has cleared the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA of .279 tracks right underneath it, so there is no bad-luck story pulling the line down. The contact quality backs the low skill: an average exit velocity of 88.1 mph and a barrel rate of 5.6% both sit under league average, and his expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample rather than climbing. Nothing unstable is driving the number, either. His walk rate is half the league average and he chases 34.4% of pitches, so he is not owed a correction. The skill is what the line says it is. Sell. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG is waiver-wire drag — cut him, deep-league streamer at best.

VS His Norm

Barrel %5.6%—−1.9% ▼vs his ~7.5% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.289 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo88.1 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.9 mphvs his norm —

161 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %39.1%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —

161 / 50 BBE

Barrel %5.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.4%vs his norm −1.9% ▼

161 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.289

lg avg .315 ▼−.026vs his norm —

222 / 160 PA

wOBA.279

lg avg .315 ▼−.036vs his norm —

222 / 200 PA

Strikeout %21.6%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —

222 / 60 PA

Walk %4.5%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —

222 / 120 PA

BABIP.265

lg avg .295 ▼−.030vs his norm −.053 ▼BABIP is below his ~.319 norm — expect it to rise.

161 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.6%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —

222 / 50 PA

Chase %34.4%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.9%vs his norm —

222 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 5.6%→6.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 5.6% (signal) lifted to career ~7.5% → projected 6.6%.

BABIP 0.265→0.259 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.265 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.257 (xBA 0.250) → 0.259.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 9 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons