MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
177 PA · week 18
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD

Jasson Domínguez

data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
flipped from HOLD on July 28, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .244R 11RBI 15SB 0

Domínguez is a sell — the bat is below league and not unlucky.

Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %5.3%−2.2%vs his ~7.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.9 mph
87.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.1 mphvs his norm —
132 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.1%
37.1%*
lg avg 40.0% −2.9%vs his norm —
132 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.3%
norm5.3%*
lg avg 8.0% −2.7%vs his norm −2.2%
132 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.295
believable since Jul 23.295*
lg avg .315 −.020vs his norm —
177 / 160 PA
wOBA.284
.284*
lg avg .315 −.031vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
177 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.3%
20.3%*
lg avg 22.0% −1.7%vs his norm —
177 / 60 PA
Walk %4.0%
4.0%*
lg avg 8.5% −4.5%vs his norm —
177 / 120 PA
BABIP.254
norm.254*
lg avg .295 −.041vs his norm −.065 BABIP is below his ~.319 normexpect it to rise.
132 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.8%
12.8%*
lg avg 11.0% +1.8%vs his norm —
177 / 50 PA
Chase %36.7%
36.7%*
lg avg 28.5% +8.2%vs his norm —
177 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.3%→6.6%signal2 HR — Barrel% 5.3% (signal) lifted to career ~7.5% → projected 6.6%.
BABIP 0.254→0.267 regressednoise.244 AVG — BABIP 0.254 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.269 (xBA 0.260) → 0.267.
on-base + lineup11 R — his run rate over ~121 projected PA.
slugging + lineup15 RBI — his RBI rate over ~121 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 9 G) over ~121 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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