229 PA · week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Jazz Chisholm Jr.
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Chisholm is a sell — his skill is below league and it's stable.
His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the season and now sits at .287, .028 below the league average of .315, with 229 plate appearances making that number reliable. His actual wOBA is .313, nearly .030 higher, so there is no bad-luck story pulling him down. Average exit velocity is right at league, but hard-hit rate (37.1%) and barrel rate (6.3%) both trail the league, and those contact-quality numbers are stable at 143 batted balls. He does walk at a slightly above-league clip (9.6% vs. 8.5%), but his 27.5% strikeout rate cuts into the offensive value. This is a league-average or slightly below bat with no noisy luck inflating the line either way. Sell.
Sell
med0.61
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.287 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.3 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL143 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL143 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL143 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.287
lg avg .315 ▼−.028trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL229 / 160 PA
wOBA.313
lg avg .315 ▼−.002trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL229 / 200 PA
Strikeout %27.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL229 / 60 PA
Walk %9.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL229 / 120 PA
BABIP.314
lg avg .295 ▲+.019too early to trust
NOISE143 / 800 BIP