124 PA · week 28
this weekHOLD
last week—
Jim Jarvis
data as of October 2, 2026·week 28
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.268); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Jarvis is a hold — league average, with nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .222 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.268)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph 0.0 mphvs his norm —
92 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.0%vs his norm —
92 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.7%vs his norm —
92 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.268
lg avg .315 ▼−.047vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
124 / 160 PA
wOBA.254
lg avg .315 ▼−.061vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
124 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.5%vs his norm —
124 / 60 PA
Walk %6.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —
124 / 120 PA
BABIP.253
lg avg .295 ▼−.042vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
92 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —
124 / 50 PA
Chase %28.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.5%vs his norm —
124 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.3%→4.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.3% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 4.2%.
BABIP 0.253→0.340 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.253 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.351 (xBA 0.234) → 0.340.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 3 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.