70 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jimmy Crooks
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 34% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.318); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .229HR 3R 0RBI 0SB 0
Crooks is a hold — strikeout risk caps the upside.
ROS projects AVG .200 YTD → .229 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.318)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.3 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is above the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to fall.
37 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %51.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+11.4%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is above the ~40.0% league average — expect it to fall.
37 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —Barrel % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
37 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.318
lg avg .315 ▲+.003vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
70 / 160 PA
wOBA.262
lg avg .315 ▼−.053vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
70 / 200 PA
Strikeout %34.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+12.3%vs his norm —
70 / 60 PA
Walk %8.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
70 / 120 PA
BABIP.229
lg avg .295 ▼−.066vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
37 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.6%vs his norm —
70 / 50 PA
Chase %33.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.6%vs his norm —
70 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.1%→8.1%noise3 HR — Barrel% 8.1% (noise) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 8.1%.
BABIP 0.229→0.359 regressednoise.229 AVG — BABIP 0.229 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.365 (xBA 0.219) → 0.359.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~119 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~119 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~119 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.