MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
157 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

John Rave

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.317); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Rave is a hold — average across the board, nothing driving it either way

ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .000 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %10.7%—+5.2% ▲vs his ~5.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.317)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.9 mph
87.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.1 mphvs his norm —
103 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.9%
35.9%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —
103 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.7%
norm10.7%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm +5.2% ▲
103 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.317
.317*
lg avg .315 ▲+.002vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
157 / 160 PA
wOBA.329
.329*
lg avg .315 ▲+.014vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
157 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.6%
23.6%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —
157 / 60 PA
Walk %10.8%
10.8%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.3%vs his norm —
157 / 120 PA
BABIP.274
norm.274*
lg avg .295 ▼−.021vs his norm +.024 ▲BABIP is above his ~.250 norm — expect it to fall.
103 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.2%
10.2%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —
157 / 50 PA
Chase %27.0%
27.0%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
157 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.7%→7.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 10.7% (signal) tempered to career ~5.5% → projected 7.3%.
BABIP 0.274→0.242 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.274 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.237 (xBA 0.237) → 0.242.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups