MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 13, 2026
88 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last week

Jordan Beck

data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.260); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 6AVG .226R 19RBI 27SB 5

Beck is a hold — limited data, league-average skill so far.

ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 6 ROS, AVG .183 YTD → .226 ROS, R 7 YTD → 19 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %3.3%−5.6%vs his ~8.9% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.260)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.3 mph
85.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −3.7 mphvs his norm —
61 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %26.2%
26.2%*
lg avg 40.0% −13.8%vs his norm —
61 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.3%
norm3.3%*
lg avg 8.0% −4.7%vs his norm −5.6%
61 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.260
.260*
lg avg .315 −.055vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
88 / 160 PA
wOBA.235
.235*
lg avg .315 −.080vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
88 / 200 PA
Strikeout %25.0%
25.0%*
lg avg 22.0% +3.0%vs his norm —
88 / 60 PA
Walk %5.7%
5.7%*
lg avg 8.5% −2.8%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league averageexpect it to rise.
88 / 120 PA
BABIP.233
norm.233*
lg avg .295 −.062vs his norm −.102 BABIP is below his ~.336 normexpect it to rise.
61 / 800 BIP

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.3%→7.6%signal6 HR — Barrel% 3.3% (signal) lifted to career ~8.9% → projected 7.6%.
BABIP 0.233→0.283 regressednoise.226 AVG — BABIP 0.233 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.287 (xBA 0.224) → 0.283.
on-base + lineup19 R — his run rate over ~234 projected PA.
slugging + lineup27 RBI — his RBI rate over ~234 projected PA.
run rate / role5 SB — his steal rate (2 in 30 G) over ~234 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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