MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
103 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Josh Rojas

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.219); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .239R 0RBI 45SB 0

Rojas is a hold — no edge here, no alarm either

ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG 1.000 YTD → .239 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %1.2%−3.4%vs his ~4.6% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.219)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.0 mph
86.0 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −3.0 mphvs his norm —
82 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %28.0%
28.0%*
lg avg 40.0% −12.0%vs his norm —
82 / 50 BBE
Barrel %1.2%
norm1.2%*
lg avg 8.0% −6.8%vs his norm −3.4%
82 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.219
.219*
lg avg .315 −.096vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
103 / 160 PA
wOBA.275
.275*
lg avg .315 −.040vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
103 / 200 PA
Strikeout %15.5%
15.5%*
lg avg 22.0% −6.5%vs his norm —
103 / 60 PA
Walk %3.9%
3.9%*
lg avg 8.5% −4.6%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league averageexpect it to rise.
103 / 120 PA
BABIP.269
norm.269*
lg avg .295 −.026vs his norm −.021 BABIP is below his ~.290 normexpect it to rise.
82 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.2%
10.2%*
lg avg 11.0% −0.8%vs his norm —
103 / 50 PA
Chase %31.4%
31.4%*
lg avg 28.5% +2.9%vs his norm —
103 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 1.2%→3.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 1.2% (signal) lifted to career ~4.6% → projected 3.6%.
BABIP 0.269→0.234 regressednoise.239 AVG — BABIP 0.269 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.186) → 0.234.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~22 projected PA.
slugging + lineup45 RBI — his RBI rate over ~22 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~22 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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