MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
579 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Jung Hoo Lee

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.315); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Lee is a hold — league-average line, nothing unstable behind it.

His expected wOBA is .315, exactly the league average, and he has 579 plate appearances — well past the 160 it takes for that number to become reliable. His actual wOBA is .317, so there is no luck gap propping up the line or dragging it down. What sits underneath is a contact profile that does not match the result: his hard-hit rate is 31.5% against a league average of 40.0%, and his barrel rate is 2.3% against 8.0%. That should cost more production than it has. It hasn't, because he strikes out in only 9.8% of plate appearances against a 22.0% league mark and his swinging-strike rate is 6.0% against 11.0%. He puts the ball in play at an extreme rate and that has carried a league-average line. There is no skill edge here and no luck story to sell. Limited data: this rests on one season's sample with no baseline or trend behind it. Hold. A .000 AVG with 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB is a streaming-only tax — hold, but zero counting help here.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %2.3%—−1.6% ▼vs his ~3.9% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.315)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.5 mph
87.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.5 mphvs his norm —
486 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %31.5%
31.5%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.5%vs his norm —
486 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.3%
norm2.3%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.7%vs his norm −1.6% ▼
486 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.315
.315*
lg avg .315 .000vs his norm —
579 / 160 PA
wOBA.317
believable since May 30.317*
lg avg .315 ▲+.002vs his norm —
579 / 200 PA
Strikeout %9.8%
9.8%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−12.2%vs his norm —
579 / 60 PA
Walk %5.0%
5.0%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.5%vs his norm —
579 / 120 PA
BABIP.292
norm.292*
lg avg .295 ▼−.003vs his norm +.005 ▲BABIP is above his ~.287 norm — expect it to fall.
486 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %6.0%
6.0%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−5.0%vs his norm —
579 / 50 PA
Chase %31.1%
31.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
579 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.3%→2.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.3% (signal) lifted to career ~3.9% → projected 2.8%.
BABIP 0.292→0.299 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.292 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.310 (xBA 0.288) → 0.299.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 52 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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