MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
351 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Jung Hoo Lee

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.311) — BABIP 0.322 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSAVG .287HR 1R 22RBI 17SB 0

Lee is a hold — league-average bat, nothing unstable.

His expected wOBA is .311 — essentially league average — and he has more than enough plate appearances for that number to be trusted. His actual wOBA is .332, a bit higher, but the gap is driven by a .322 BABIP that is still noisy at 300 balls in play. Expect that average to settle. His contact quality is well below league: 87.1 mph exit velocity, 28.3% hard-hit rate, and 2.3% barrel rate are all well below average. He does strike out only 9.7% of the time, but his walk rate is also low at 4.0%. The skill is roughly league-average with no luck story to sell and no underlying growth to buy. Hold. 1 HR / 22 R / 17 RBI / 0 SB / .287 AVG: a deep-league hold, nothing more.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %2.3%−1.6%vs his ~3.9% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.311)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.322 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.1 mph
87.1 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.9 mphvs his norm —
300 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %28.3%
28.3%*
lg avg 40.0% −11.7%vs his norm —
300 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.3%
norm2.3%*
lg avg 8.0% −5.7%vs his norm −1.6%
300 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.311
.311*
lg avg .315 −.004vs his norm —
351 / 160 PA
wOBA.332
believable since May 30.332*
lg avg .315 +.017vs his norm —
351 / 200 PA
Strikeout %9.7%
9.7%*
lg avg 22.0% −12.3%vs his norm —
351 / 60 PA
Walk %4.0%
4.0%*
lg avg 8.5% −4.5%vs his norm —
351 / 120 PA
BABIP.322
norm.322*
lg avg .295 +.027vs his norm +.035 BABIP is above his ~.287 normexpect it to fall.
300 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %6.0%
6.0%*
lg avg 11.0% −5.0%vs his norm —
351 / 50 PA
Chase %31.0%
31.0%*
lg avg 28.5% +2.5%vs his norm —
351 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.3%→2.9%signal1 HR — Barrel% 2.3% (signal) lifted to career ~3.9% → projected 2.9%.
BABIP 0.322→0.316 regressednoise.287 AVG — BABIP 0.322 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.313 (xBA 0.291) → 0.316.
on-base + lineup22 R — his run rate over ~187 projected PA.
slugging + lineup17 RBI — his RBI rate over ~187 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 52 G) over ~187 projected PA.
rosterdeep.287 AVG

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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