MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of Ketel Marte
246 PA · week 10
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekBUY

Ketel Marte

data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Marte is a buy-low — contact quality intact, BABIP noise dragging him.

His hard-hit rate has stepped up across the sample, now at 44.5% — above the league average of 40.0% and past the 50 batted-ball mark where that number is reliable. His barrel rate (11.0%) and average exit velocity (90.8 mph) also say the contact quality is good and stable. His actual wOBA is .340, but his expected wOBA is .378, showing that the results have underperformed the batted-ball profile. The gap comes from BABIP: .271 against a league average of .295, and BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable — he has 191. That suppressed BABIP is noise, not a skill decline. His strikeout rate (14.6%) is well below league average, so he is putting the ball in play. Buy low.

Buy Low
med0.68

Drivers

  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.271 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.8 mph
90.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph +1.8 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL191 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %44.5%
44.5%
lg avg 40.0% +4.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL191 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.0%
11.0%
lg avg 8.0% +3.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL191 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.378
.378
lg avg .315 +.063trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL246 / 160 PA
wOBA.340
.340
lg avg .315 +.025trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL246 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.6%
14.6%
lg avg 22.0% −7.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL246 / 60 PA
Walk %7.7%
7.7%
lg avg 8.5% −0.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL246 / 120 PA
BABIP.271
.271
lg avg .295 −.024too early to trust
NOISE191 / 800 BIP