MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Luis Rengifo
354 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Luis Rengifo

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.304); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60
ROSAVG .252HR 0R 3RBI 3SB 1

Rengifo is a hold — league-average skill, nothing pulling either way.

His expected wOBA is .304, which is .011 below the league average of .315, and he has 354 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. The skill is roughly where the league is. His contact quality does not help the case: 87.7 mph average exit velocity and a 34.3% hard-hit rate against a league average of 40%. But there is a lot of contact here. He strikes out 13.8% of the time, well below league, and walks 9.6%, a touch above it. The problem is that the hits are not landing — his actual wOBA of .289 sits under his expected number. His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, so there is no hidden jump coming. This is the level. Hold. 0 HR / 3 R / 3 RBI / 1 SB / .252 AVG is deep-league filler only — hold, but this is a drop-tier streamer, not an asset.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.1%−1.1%vs his ~5.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.304)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.7 mph
87.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.3 mphvs his norm —
268 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %34.3%
34.3%*
lg avg 40.0% −5.7%vs his norm —
268 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.1%
norm4.1%*
lg avg 8.0% −3.9%vs his norm −1.1%
268 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.304
.304*
lg avg .315 −.011vs his norm —
354 / 160 PA
wOBA.289
.289*
lg avg .315 −.026vs his norm —
354 / 200 PA
Strikeout %13.8%
13.8%*
lg avg 22.0% −8.2%vs his norm —
354 / 60 PA
Walk %9.6%
9.6%*
lg avg 8.5% +1.1%vs his norm —
354 / 120 PA
BABIP.272
norm.272*
lg avg .295 −.023vs his norm −.028 BABIP is below his ~.300 normexpect it to rise.
268 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.8%
9.8%*
lg avg 11.0% −1.2%vs his norm —
354 / 50 PA
Chase %30.6%
30.6%*
lg avg 28.5% +2.1%vs his norm —
354 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.1%→4.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.1% (signal) lifted to career ~5.2% → projected 4.6%.
BABIP 0.272→0.281 regressednoise.252 AVG — BABIP 0.272 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.286 (xBA 0.253) → 0.281.
on-base + lineup3 R — his run rate over ~40 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~40 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (3 in 47 G) over ~40 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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