211 PA · week 17
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD
Luis Rengifo
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from HOLD on July 18, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.294 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .247R 15RBI 15SB 3
Rengifo is a sell — below-league skill, no luck excuse.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %4.8%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~5.2% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.294 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.3 mphvs his norm —
166 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %34.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.1%vs his norm —
166 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm −0.4% ▼
166 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.294
lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —
211 / 160 PA
wOBA.243
lg avg .315 ▼−.072vs his norm —
211 / 200 PA
Strikeout %11.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−10.2%vs his norm —
211 / 60 PA
Walk %9.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
211 / 120 PA
BABIP.232
lg avg .295 ▼−.063vs his norm −.068 ▼BABIP is below his ~.300 norm — expect it to rise.
166 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
211 / 50 PA
Chase %30.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.1%vs his norm —
211 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.8%→5.0%signal2 HR — Barrel% 4.8% (signal) lifted to career ~5.2% → projected 5.0%.
BABIP 0.232→0.270 regressednoise.247 AVG — BABIP 0.232 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.280 (xBA 0.248) → 0.270.
on-base + lineup15 R — his run rate over ~176 projected PA.
slugging + lineup15 RBI — his RBI rate over ~176 projected PA.
run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (3 in 47 G) over ~176 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.