MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Luis Rengifo
354 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Luis Rengifo

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.304); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Rengifo is a hold — league-average skill, falling trajectory

His expected wOBA is .304, just .011 below the league average of .315, and 354 plate appearances is well past the point where that number becomes reliable. That is the whole case. His actual wOBA is .289, so the line is a bit worse than his skill, but not enough to call it bad luck. His contact quality is soft: 87.7 mph average exit velocity against a league average of 89.0, a 34.3% hard-hit rate against 40.0%, and 4.1% barrels against 8.0% — all stable across 268 batted balls. The one number that stands out is a 13.8% strikeout rate, well below league, and his xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample. That is a mild concern rather than a sell signal. There is no edge here in either direction. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.1%—−1.1% ▼vs his ~5.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.304)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.7 mph
87.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.3 mphvs his norm —
268 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %34.3%
34.3%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.7%vs his norm —
268 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.1%
norm4.1%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm −1.1% ▼
268 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.304
.304*
lg avg .315 ▼−.011vs his norm —
354 / 160 PA
wOBA.289
.289*
lg avg .315 ▼−.026vs his norm —
354 / 200 PA
Strikeout %13.8%
13.8%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−8.2%vs his norm —
354 / 60 PA
Walk %9.6%
9.6%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
354 / 120 PA
BABIP.272
norm.272*
lg avg .295 ▼−.023vs his norm −.028 ▼BABIP is below his ~.300 norm — expect it to rise.
268 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.8%
9.8%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
354 / 50 PA
Chase %30.6%
30.6%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.1%vs his norm —
354 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.1%→4.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.1% (signal) lifted to career ~5.2% → projected 4.6%.
BABIP 0.272→0.281 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.272 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.286 (xBA 0.253) → 0.281.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (3 in 47 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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