MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Maikel Garcia
344 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Maikel Garcia

KC·3B
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.318); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Garcia is a hold — league-average skill, nothing misleading on the line.

His expected wOBA is .318, three points above the league average of .315, and with 344 plate appearances he is well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .318 too — identical — so there is no gap between what he has produced and what he should have produced. His plate skills back that up: a 14.5% strikeout rate and 5.6% swinging-strike rate, both far better than league, with a walk rate a touch above average. The one thing holding him to league level is barrel rate — 4.2% against a league average of 8.0% — real power he does not have. What he has is a stable, disciplined bat trending slightly upward, priced about right. Hold. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG is a fringe hold — a drop-tier drag, streamable but not a keeper.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.2%—−0.3% ▼vs his ~4.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.318)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.7 mph
89.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.7 mphvs his norm —
262 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %40.5%
40.5%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
262 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.2%
norm4.2%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.8%vs his norm −0.3% ▼
262 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.318
.318*
lg avg .315 ▲+.003vs his norm —
344 / 160 PA
wOBA.318
.318*
lg avg .315 ▲+.003vs his norm —
344 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.5%
14.5%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−7.5%vs his norm —
344 / 60 PA
Walk %9.3%
9.3%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
344 / 120 PA
BABIP.309
norm.309*
lg avg .295 ▲+.014vs his norm +.006 ▲BABIP is above his ~.303 norm — expect it to fall.
262 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %5.6%
5.6%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−5.4%vs his norm —
344 / 50 PA
Chase %22.5%
22.5%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−6.0%vs his norm —
344 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.2%→4.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.2% (signal) lifted to career ~4.5% → projected 4.3%.
BABIP 0.309→0.306 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.309 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.305 (xBA 0.271) → 0.306.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (4 in 56 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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