494 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
VS His Norm
- Barrel %3.6%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~4.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.299 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.8 mphvs his norm —
338 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.8%vs his norm —
338 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.4%vs his norm −0.4% ▼
338 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.299
lg avg .315 ▼−.016vs his norm —
494 / 160 PA
wOBA.287
lg avg .315 ▼−.028vs his norm —
494 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
494 / 60 PA
Walk %8.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
494 / 120 PA
BABIP.294
lg avg .295 ▼−.001vs his norm +.003 ▲BABIP is above his ~.291 norm — expect it to fall.
338 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
494 / 50 PA
Chase %24.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —
494 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.6%→3.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.6% (signal) lifted to career ~4.0% → projected 3.7%.
BABIP 0.294→0.301 regressednoise.233 AVG — BABIP 0.294 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.307 (xBA 0.248) → 0.301.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~43 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~43 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (5 in 52 G) over ~43 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.