357 PA · week 17
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
VS His Norm
- Barrel %3.2%—−0.8% ▼vs his ~4.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.0 mphvs his norm —
252 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.7%vs his norm —
252 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.8%vs his norm −0.8% ▼
252 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.298
lg avg .315 ▼−.017vs his norm —
357 / 160 PA
wOBA.290
lg avg .315 ▼−.025vs his norm —
357 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —
357 / 60 PA
Walk %8.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —
357 / 120 PA
BABIP.294
lg avg .295 ▼−.001vs his norm +.003 ▲BABIP is above his ~.291 norm — expect it to fall.
252 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
357 / 50 PA
Chase %24.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.8%vs his norm —
357 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.2%→3.5%signal2 HR — Barrel% 3.2% (signal) lifted to career ~4.0% → projected 3.5%.
BABIP 0.294→0.307 regressednoise.239 AVG — BABIP 0.294 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.313 (xBA 0.253) → 0.307.
on-base + lineup18 R — his run rate over ~190 projected PA.
slugging + lineup18 RBI — his RBI rate over ~190 projected PA.
run rate / role4 SB — his steal rate (5 in 52 G) over ~190 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.