Is Michael Busch a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Michael Busch's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .345 with a 10.1% barrel rate supports it.

424 PA · week 17

this weekBUY

last weekBUY

Michael Busch

CHC·1B

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

Buy stable xwOBA 0.345, +0.030 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.66 (narrative held for review)

ROSHR 6AVG .231R 20RBI 27SB 1

Busch is a buy — contact quality is elite and stable.

Stable, above-average skill with no luck propping it up. Buy.

VS His Norm

Barrel %10.1%—−3.8% ▼vs his ~13.9% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.345, +0.030 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo88.3 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.7 mphvs his norm —

257 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %40.9%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —

257 / 50 BBE

Barrel %10.1%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.1%vs his norm −3.8% ▼

257 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.345

lg avg .315 ▲+.030vs his norm —

424 / 160 PA

wOBA.342

lg avg .315 ▲+.027vs his norm —

424 / 200 PA

Strikeout %22.2%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm —

424 / 60 PA

Walk %14.9%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+6.4%vs his norm —

424 / 120 PA

BABIP.293

lg avg .295 ▼−.002vs his norm −.008 ▼BABIP is below his ~.301 norm — expect it to rise.

257 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %10.5%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm —

424 / 50 PA

Chase %23.9%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.6%vs his norm —

424 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 10.1%→11.8%signal6 HR — Barrel% 10.1% (signal) lifted to career ~13.9% → projected 11.8%.

BABIP 0.293→0.277 regressednoise.231 AVG — BABIP 0.293 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.269 (xBA 0.231) → 0.277.

on-base + lineup20 R — his run rate over ~201 projected PA.

slugging + lineup27 RBI — his RBI rate over ~201 projected PA.

run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 59 G) over ~201 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons