MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Michael Massey
246 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Michael Massey

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.307); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60
ROSAVG .228HR 3R 17RBI 20SB 1

Massey is a hold — league average, no edge either way.

His expected wOBA sits at .307, essentially league average, and he has enough plate appearances to trust it. His actual wOBA is .313, tracking right with the expected number. His contact quality is near league average: exit velocity 90.5 mph, 41.4% hard-hit rate, and a barrel rate slightly below league. There is no luck story — his BABIP isn't elevated or suppressed enough to drive a gap. His strikeout rate is a strong 16.7% and his chase rate is above average, but his walk rate is below league. The xwOBA trajectory has been stepping down across the sample, suggesting no hidden breakout. He is what the numbers say: a roughly average bat. Hold. 3 HR / 17 R / 20 RBI / 1 SB / .228 AVG makes him a deep-league-only hold; drop in standard leagues.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.8%+0.2%vs his ~6.6% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.5 mph
90.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +1.5 mphvs his norm —
191 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.4%
41.4%*
lg avg 40.0% +1.4%vs his norm —
191 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.8%
norm6.8%*
lg avg 8.0% −1.2%vs his norm +0.2%
191 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.307
believable since Jun 14.307*
lg avg .315 −.008vs his norm —
246 / 160 PA
wOBA.313
.313*
lg avg .315 −.002vs his norm —
246 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.7%
16.7%*
lg avg 22.0% −5.3%vs his norm —
246 / 60 PA
Walk %5.7%
5.7%*
lg avg 8.5% −2.8%vs his norm —
246 / 120 PA
BABIP.286
norm.286*
lg avg .295 −.009vs his norm +.017 BABIP is above his ~.269 normexpect it to fall.
191 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.3%
10.3%*
lg avg 11.0% −0.7%vs his norm —
246 / 50 PA
Chase %37.8%
37.8%*
lg avg 28.5% +9.3%vs his norm —
246 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.8%→6.7%signal3 HR — Barrel% 6.8% (signal) tempered to career ~6.6% → projected 6.7%.
BABIP 0.286→0.269 regressednoise.228 AVG — BABIP 0.286 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.264 (xBA 0.245) → 0.269.
on-base + lineup17 R — his run rate over ~155 projected PA.
slugging + lineup20 RBI — his RBI rate over ~155 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 44 G) over ~155 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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