Is Miguel Andujar a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Miguel Andujar's rest-of-season outlook?

Barrel rate 4.2%—power absent despite low Ks.

240 PA · week 17

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Miguel Andujar

SD·DH

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

flipped from HOLD on July 18, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.296 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59

ROSAVG .248HR 2R 18RBI 17SB 1

Andujar is a sell — skill below league, no luck story.

His expected wOBA is .296, which is .019 below the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .310, barely higher, so there is no bad-luck excuse dragging the line down. His contact quality metrics are all below league: exit velocity 88.3 mph, hard-hit rate 36.0%, and barrel rate 4.2% — each based on a stable, large sample. His walk rate is also well below league at 4.2%, while his chase rate is elevated at 41.2%. The only above-average number is his strikeout rate, but that does not compensate for the weak contact. His xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample, confirming the trend. There is no counterargument here — the skill is simply below average with no luck to explain it. Sell. 2 HR / 18 R / 17 RBI / 1 SB / .248 AVG makes Andujar a clear drop — the weak contact doesn't support the counting stats.

VS His Norm

Barrel %4.2%—+0.1% ▲vs his ~4.1% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.296 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo88.3 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.7 mphvs his norm —

189 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %36.0%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —

189 / 50 BBE

Barrel %4.2%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.8%vs his norm +0.1% ▲

189 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.296

lg avg .315 ▼−.019vs his norm —

240 / 160 PA

wOBA.310

lg avg .315 ▼−.005vs his norm —

240 / 200 PA

Strikeout %15.8%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−6.2%vs his norm —

240 / 60 PA

Walk %4.2%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —

240 / 120 PA

BABIP.293

lg avg .295 ▼−.002vs his norm −.039 ▼BABIP is below his ~.332 norm — expect it to rise.

189 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %10.3%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —

240 / 50 PA

Chase %41.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+12.7%vs his norm —

240 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 4.2%→4.2%signal2 HR — Barrel% 4.2% (signal) tempered to career ~4.1% → projected 4.2%.

BABIP 0.293→0.296 regressednoise.248 AVG — BABIP 0.293 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.297 (xBA 0.264) → 0.296.

on-base + lineup18 R — his run rate over ~177 projected PA.

slugging + lineup17 RBI — his RBI rate over ~177 projected PA.

run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 47 G) over ~177 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons