Is Miguel Andujar a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Miguel Andujar's rest-of-season outlook?

Barrels at 4.5% — contact skill, zero thump.

254 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Miguel Andujar

SD·DH

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.58

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Andujar is a sell — below-league contact and no luck to blame.

His expected wOBA is .298, .017 under the league average, and his 254 plate appearances are past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .314, so nothing unlucky is dragging the line down — the skill and the output are the same player. The contact quality underneath is thin: 88.3 mph average exit velocity, a 36.3% hard-hit rate, and 4.5% barrels, all below league, on 201 batted balls. That is well past the sample where contact quality locks in. The expected wOBA has been stepping down across the season, not up. He does make contact — a 15% strikeout rate is well below league — but he chases 40.8% of pitches off the plate, and weak contact on pitcher's pitches is where the value goes to die. Sell. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG is the projection, so this is a drop — waiver-wire fringe, not a hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %4.5%—+0.4% ▲vs his ~4.1% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo88.3 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.7 mphvs his norm —

201 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %36.3%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —

201 / 50 BBE

Barrel %4.5%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.5%vs his norm +0.4% ▲

201 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.298

lg avg .315 ▼−.017vs his norm —

254 / 160 PA

wOBA.314

lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —

254 / 200 PA

Strikeout %15.0%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−7.0%vs his norm —

254 / 60 PA

Walk %4.3%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —

254 / 120 PA

BABIP.291

lg avg .295 ▼−.004vs his norm −.041 ▼BABIP is below his ~.332 norm — expect it to rise.

201 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %10.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —

254 / 50 PA

Chase %40.8%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+12.3%vs his norm —

254 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 4.5%→4.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.5% (signal) tempered to career ~4.1% → projected 4.3%.

BABIP 0.291→0.295 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.291 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.297 (xBA 0.264) → 0.295.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 47 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons