MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Miguel Andujar
254 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD

Miguel Andujar

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 10-DAY IL
flipped from HOLD
Sell stable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.58
ROSAVG .246HR 0R 4RBI 4SB 0

Andujar is a sell — the bat is below league and trending down.

His exit velocity is 88.3 mph, below the league average of 89.0, and his hard-hit rate of 36.3% sits under the 40.0% league mark, with enough batted balls that both numbers can be trusted. His barrel rate is just 4.5% against a league average of 8.0%. His expected wOBA is .298, .017 below league, and his actual wOBA of .314 is not masking a bad-luck story — the two are close, and his BABIP is not dragging anything down. His xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample, so the gap is widening, not closing. He does not strike out (15.0%), but he also rarely walks (4.3%) and chases 40.8% of pitches outside the zone, a rate well above league. There is no slump waiting to break here. Sell. 0 HR / 4 R / 4 RBI and a .246 AVG is a drag, not a hold — drop him to the waiver wire.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.5%+0.4%vs his ~4.1% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.3 mph
88.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −0.7 mphvs his norm —
201 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.3%
36.3%*
lg avg 40.0% −3.7%vs his norm —
201 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.5%
norm4.5%*
lg avg 8.0% −3.5%vs his norm +0.4%
201 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.298
.298*
lg avg .315 −.017vs his norm —
254 / 160 PA
wOBA.314
.314*
lg avg .315 −.001vs his norm —
254 / 200 PA
Strikeout %15.0%
15.0%*
lg avg 22.0% −7.0%vs his norm —
254 / 60 PA
Walk %4.3%
4.3%*
lg avg 8.5% −4.2%vs his norm —
254 / 120 PA
BABIP.291
norm.291*
lg avg .295 −.004vs his norm −.041 BABIP is below his ~.332 normexpect it to rise.
201 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.0%
10.0%*
lg avg 11.0% −1.0%vs his norm —
254 / 50 PA
Chase %40.8%
40.8%*
lg avg 28.5% +12.3%vs his norm —
254 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.5%→4.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.5% (signal) tempered to career ~4.1% → projected 4.3%.
BABIP 0.291→0.295 regressednoise.246 AVG — BABIP 0.291 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.297 (xBA 0.264) → 0.295.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~40 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~40 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 47 G) over ~40 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups