Is Nasim Nuñez a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Nasim Nuñez's rest-of-season outlook?

84 mph exit velo and 0.5% barrels — no pop at all.

306 PA · week 17

this weekSELL

last weekSELL

Nasim Nuñez

WSH·2B

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

Sell stable xwOBA 0.268 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.64

ROSHR 1AVG .220R 20RBI 14SB 20

Nuñez is a sell — his bat is below league with no luck excuse.

His expected wOBA settled at .268, .047 below the league average of .315, and he has 306 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .285, a few points higher, but that gap is tiny. There is no suppressed BABIP hiding real skill; his contact quality tells the story clearly. His average exit velocity is 84.7 mph, more than four mph below league. His hard-hit rate is just 20.5%, half the league average, and his barrel rate is 0.5% — essentially nonexistent. The trajectory is not trending up; his xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample. He walks at a solid clip and doesn't chase much, but that does not change the fact that he does not hit the ball hard enough to produce. Sell. 20 SB with a .220 AVG and zero power make him a deep-league steal specialist, not a roster builder.

VS His Norm

Barrel %0.5%—−2.1% ▼vs his ~2.6% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.268 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo84.7 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.3 mphvs his norm —

200 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %20.5%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−19.5%vs his norm —

200 / 50 BBE

Barrel %0.5%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−7.5%vs his norm −2.1% ▼

200 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.268

lg avg .315 ▼−.047vs his norm —

306 / 160 PA

wOBA.285

lg avg .315 ▼−.030vs his norm —

306 / 200 PA

Strikeout %23.5%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —

306 / 60 PA

Walk %10.8%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.3%vs his norm —

306 / 120 PA

BABIP.326

lg avg .295 ▲+.031vs his norm +.040 ▲BABIP is above his ~.286 norm — expect it to fall.

200 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %10.9%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm —

306 / 50 PA

Chase %26.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.3%vs his norm —

306 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 0.5%→1.6%signal1 HR — Barrel% 0.5% (signal) lifted to career ~2.6% → projected 1.6%.

BABIP 0.326→0.289 regressednoise.220 AVG — BABIP 0.326 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.276 (xBA 0.217) → 0.289.

on-base + lineup20 R — his run rate over ~179 projected PA.

slugging + lineup14 RBI — his RBI rate over ~179 projected PA.

run rate / role20 SB — his steal rate (22 in 57 G) over ~179 projected PA.

rosterdeep42 SB

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons