MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Nasim Nuñez
493 PA · week 31
this weekSELL
last weekSELL

Nasim Nuñez

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Sell stable xwOBA 0.268 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.64
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Nuñez is a sell — the contact is too soft to carry the line.

He is averaging 85.2 mph off the bat, nearly four mph under the league average of 89.0, and his hard-hit rate is 22.2% against a league mark of 40%. Those are the numbers that set his ceiling. His expected wOBA of .268 sits .047 below league average, and with 493 plate appearances that is past the point where it becomes reliable. The trajectory is stepping down across the sample, not leveling off. His actual wOBA of .251 tracks right with it, so there is no bad-luck story pulling the line under his skill. The strikeout and walk rates are fine — nothing broken in the approach — but a 0.9% barrel rate leaves no power to raise the output. The profile is what it is. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line from a 0.9% barrel bat is a drop, fringe streaming-only in deep leagues.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %0.9%—−1.7% ▼vs his ~2.6% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.268 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.2 mph
85.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.8 mphvs his norm —
343 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %22.2%
22.2%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−17.8%vs his norm —
343 / 50 BBE
Barrel %0.9%
norm0.9%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−7.1%vs his norm −1.7% ▼
343 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.268
.268*
lg avg .315 ▼−.047vs his norm —
493 / 160 PA
wOBA.251
believable since Jun 2.251*
lg avg .315 ▼−.064vs his norm —
493 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.1%
20.1%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
493 / 60 PA
Walk %9.9%
9.9%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
493 / 120 PA
BABIP.267
norm.267*
lg avg .295 ▼−.028vs his norm −.019 ▼BABIP is below his ~.286 norm — expect it to rise.
343 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.2%
10.2%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —
493 / 50 PA
Chase %25.9%
25.9%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
493 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 0.9%→1.5%signal0 HR — Barrel% 0.9% (signal) lifted to career ~2.6% → projected 1.5%.
BABIP 0.267→0.275 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.267 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.282 (xBA 0.221) → 0.275.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (22 in 57 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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