MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
446 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Nolan Schanuel

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.334); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Schanuel is a hold — league-average skill, and it's all stable.

His expected wOBA is .334, about 19 points above the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .328, so there is no luck gap pulling the line up or down. The strange part is how he gets there: 32.9% hard-hit rate and a 2.4% barrel rate, both well below league, yet the expected wOBA holds up — and it has been stepping up across the sample. He strikes out 13% of the time, far below league, and walks 9.4%, so the hit tool stays afloat on contact, not power. There is no unstable stat driving the surface and no reason to move either way. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %2.4%—−1.4% ▼vs his ~3.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.334)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.4 mph
87.4 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.6 mphvs his norm —
340 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %32.9%
32.9%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.1%vs his norm —
340 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.4%
norm2.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.6%vs his norm −1.4% ▼
340 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.334
.334*
lg avg .315 ▲+.019vs his norm —
446 / 160 PA
wOBA.328
.328*
lg avg .315 ▲+.013vs his norm —
446 / 200 PA
Strikeout %13.0%
13.0%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−9.0%vs his norm —
446 / 60 PA
Walk %9.4%
9.4%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
446 / 120 PA
BABIP.304
norm.304*
lg avg .295 ▲+.009vs his norm +.014 ▲BABIP is above his ~.290 norm — expect it to fall.
340 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.3%
7.3%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —
446 / 50 PA
Chase %27.2%
27.2%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
446 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.4%→2.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.4% (signal) lifted to career ~3.8% → projected 2.9%.
BABIP 0.304→0.315 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.304 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.323 (xBA 0.286) → 0.315.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 50 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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