MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
446 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last week

Nolan Schanuel

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.334); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .265HR 0R 4RBI 5SB 0

Schanuel is a hold — league-average skill, nothing unstable underneath.

ROS projects HR 4 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .259 YTD → .265 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %2.4%−1.4%vs his ~3.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.334)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.4 mph
87.4 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.6 mphvs his norm —
340 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %32.9%
32.9%*
lg avg 40.0% −7.1%vs his norm —
340 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.4%
norm2.4%*
lg avg 8.0% −5.6%vs his norm −1.4%
340 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.334
.334*
lg avg .315 +.019vs his norm —
446 / 160 PA
wOBA.328
.328*
lg avg .315 +.013vs his norm —
446 / 200 PA
Strikeout %13.0%
13.0%*
lg avg 22.0% −9.0%vs his norm —
446 / 60 PA
Walk %9.4%
9.4%*
lg avg 8.5% +0.9%vs his norm —
446 / 120 PA
BABIP.304
norm.304*
lg avg .295 +.009vs his norm +.014 BABIP is above his ~.290 normexpect it to fall.
340 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.3%
7.3%*
lg avg 11.0% −3.7%vs his norm —
446 / 50 PA
Chase %27.2%
27.2%*
lg avg 28.5% −1.3%vs his norm —
446 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.4%→2.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.4% (signal) lifted to career ~3.8% → projected 2.9%.
BABIP 0.304→0.315 regressednoise.265 AVG — BABIP 0.304 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.323 (xBA 0.286) → 0.315.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~42 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~42 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 50 G) over ~42 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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