MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
337 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Nolan Schanuel

data as of July 22, 2026·week 17
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.333) — BABIP 0.319 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSAVG .273HR 1R 15RBI 20SB 0

Schanuel is a hold — league average with no edge to exploit.

His expected wOBA sits at .333, just above the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances to trust that number. His actual wOBA tracks right with it, so there is no luck story inflating or suppressing the line. His strikeout rate is well below league average and his walk rate is right on the mark, giving him a solid plate-discipline foundation. But his contact quality is below league: exit velocity is 87.3 mph against a league 89.0, hard-hit rate is 32.7% versus 40.0%, and barrel rate is 2.0% versus 8.0%. His xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample, but it is still just above average. He is roughly what the numbers say — a league-average hitter with nothing unstable moving him in either direction. If you own him, keep him. If you don't, look elsewhere for an edge. Hold. A 1 HR / 15 R / 20 RBI / 0 SB / .273 AVG line is a deep-league hold, not a must-add.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %2.0%−1.8%vs his ~3.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.333)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.319 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.3 mph
87.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.7 mphvs his norm —
254 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %32.7%
32.7%*
lg avg 40.0% −7.3%vs his norm —
254 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.0%
norm2.0%*
lg avg 8.0% −6.0%vs his norm −1.8%
254 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.333
.333*
lg avg .315 +.018vs his norm —
337 / 160 PA
wOBA.334
.334*
lg avg .315 +.019vs his norm —
337 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.5%
14.5%*
lg avg 22.0% −7.5%vs his norm —
337 / 60 PA
Walk %8.6%
8.6%*
lg avg 8.5% +0.1%vs his norm —
337 / 120 PA
BABIP.319
norm.319*
lg avg .295 +.024vs his norm +.029 BABIP is above his ~.290 normexpect it to fall.
254 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.0%
8.0%*
lg avg 11.0% −3.0%vs his norm —
337 / 50 PA
Chase %28.8%
28.8%*
lg avg 28.5% +0.3%vs his norm —
337 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.0%→2.8%signal1 HR — Barrel% 2.0% (signal) lifted to career ~3.8% → projected 2.8%.
BABIP 0.319→0.323 regressednoise.273 AVG — BABIP 0.319 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.325 (xBA 0.288) → 0.323.
on-base + lineup15 R — his run rate over ~178 projected PA.
slugging + lineup20 RBI — his RBI rate over ~178 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 50 G) over ~178 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups