446 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last week—
Nolan Schanuel
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.334); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .265HR 0R 4RBI 5SB 0
Schanuel is a hold — league-average skill, nothing unstable underneath.
ROS projects HR 4 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .259 YTD → .265 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %2.4%—−1.4% ▼vs his ~3.8% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.334)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.6 mphvs his norm —
340 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %32.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.1%vs his norm —
340 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.6%vs his norm −1.4% ▼
340 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.334
lg avg .315 ▲+.019vs his norm —
446 / 160 PA
wOBA.328
lg avg .315 ▲+.013vs his norm —
446 / 200 PA
Strikeout %13.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−9.0%vs his norm —
446 / 60 PA
Walk %9.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
446 / 120 PA
BABIP.304
lg avg .295 ▲+.009vs his norm +.014 ▲BABIP is above his ~.290 norm — expect it to fall.
340 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —
446 / 50 PA
Chase %27.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
446 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.4%→2.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.4% (signal) lifted to career ~3.8% → projected 2.9%.
BABIP 0.304→0.315 regressednoise.265 AVG — BABIP 0.304 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.323 (xBA 0.286) → 0.315.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~42 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~42 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 50 G) over ~42 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.