MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
142 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Osleivis Basabe

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.285); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Basabe is a hold — league average with nothing pulling either way

ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .333 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.9%—+3.7% ▲vs his ~3.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.285)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.6 mph
87.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.4 mphvs his norm —
102 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %34.3%
34.3%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.7%vs his norm —
102 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.9%
norm6.9%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.1%vs his norm +3.7% ▲
102 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.285
.285*
lg avg .315 ▼−.030vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
142 / 160 PA
wOBA.273
.273*
lg avg .315 ▼−.042vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
142 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.7%
19.7%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm —
142 / 60 PA
Walk %6.3%
6.3%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —
142 / 120 PA
BABIP.219
norm.219*
lg avg .295 ▼−.076vs his norm −.076 ▼BABIP is below his ~.295 norm — expect it to rise.
102 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.7%
10.7%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
142 / 50 PA
Chase %34.5%
34.5%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.0%vs his norm —
142 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.9%→4.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.9% (signal) tempered to career ~3.2% → projected 4.4%.
BABIP 0.219→0.229 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.219 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.231) → 0.229.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 3 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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