Is Paul Goldschmidt a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Paul Goldschmidt's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

380 PA · week 31

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Paul Goldschmidt

NYY·1B

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

Hold · steady skill near league average (0.311); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Goldschmidt is a hold — league average, with the arrow drifting down.

His expected wOBA is .311 against a league average of .315, and with 380 plate appearances the number is past the point where it becomes reliable. That is the whole story here: the skill is average, not disguised by anything. His actual wOBA sits at .330, a bit above the expected mark, and there is nothing in his profile suggesting that gap is a problem. The contact quality is ordinary — 86.8 mph average exit velocity and a 35.9% hard-hit rate both land below league — though his 9.9% barrel rate runs above the 8.0% average. The one thing worth tracking is the expected wOBA sliding lower across the sample rather than holding flat. A steady number may have quietly become a declining one. Hold. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG rest-of-season is a streaming-only drag; hold only if you have the bench space.

VS His Norm

Barrel %9.9%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~10.3% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.311)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo86.8 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.2 mphvs his norm —

262 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %35.9%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —

262 / 50 BBE

Barrel %9.9%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.9%vs his norm −0.4% ▼

262 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.311

lg avg .315 ▼−.004vs his norm —

380 / 160 PA

wOBA.330

lg avg .315 ▲+.015vs his norm —

380 / 200 PA

Strikeout %22.6%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —

380 / 60 PA

Walk %7.6%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —

380 / 120 PA

BABIP.283

lg avg .295 ▼−.012vs his norm −.037 ▼BABIP is below his ~.320 norm — expect it to rise.

262 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —

380 / 50 PA

Chase %32.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —

380 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 9.9%→10.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 9.9% (signal) lifted to career ~10.3% → projected 10.1%.

BABIP 0.283→0.256 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.283 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.243 (xBA 0.238) → 0.256.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 34 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons