262 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Paul Goldschmidt
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.316); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .220HR 5R 25RBI 25SB 0
Goldschmidt is a hold — league average, no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 6 YTD → 5 ROS, AVG .261 YTD → .220 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %11.7%—+1.4% ▲vs his ~10.3% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.316)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.5 mphvs his norm —
180 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.1%vs his norm —
180 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm +1.4% ▲
180 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.316
lg avg .315 ▲+.001vs his norm —
262 / 160 PA
wOBA.348
lg avg .315 ▲+.033vs his norm —
262 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —
262 / 60 PA
Walk %6.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.6%vs his norm —
262 / 120 PA
BABIP.285
lg avg .295 ▼−.010vs his norm −.035 ▼BABIP is below his ~.320 norm — expect it to rise.
180 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —
262 / 50 PA
Chase %34.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.8%vs his norm —
262 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.7%→11.0%signal5 HR — Barrel% 11.7% (signal) tempered to career ~10.3% → projected 11.0%.
BABIP 0.285→0.248 regressednoise.220 AVG — BABIP 0.285 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.238 (xBA 0.234) → 0.248.
on-base + lineup25 R — his run rate over ~165 projected PA.
slugging + lineup25 RBI — his RBI rate over ~165 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 34 G) over ~165 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.