Is Paul Goldschmidt a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Paul Goldschmidt's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

359 PA · week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Paul Goldschmidt

NYY·1B

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Hold · steady skill near league average (0.314); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSAVG .217HR 1R 6RBI 6SB 0

Goldschmidt is a hold — league average, no luck pulling either way.

His expected wOBA is .314, essentially the league average of .315, and he has 359 plate appearances — well past the 160 needed for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .333, twenty points higher, which is a small gap but not nothing. His strikeout rate of 23.7% is a touch above league, and his swinging-strike rate of 12.8% is a bit elevated too. His average exit velocity is 86.8 mph, below league, but his barrel rate of 10.7% is above league. There is no unstable luck stat driving the line in either direction. Limited data: this call rests on the first stable sample of the season. Hold. A 1 HR / 6 R / 6 RBI / .217 AVG ROS line is a drop-tier drag — deep-league streamer at best, not a hold asset.

VS His Norm

Barrel %10.7%—+0.4% ▲vs his ~10.3% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.314)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo86.8 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.2 mphvs his norm —

243 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %36.6%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.4%vs his norm —

243 / 50 BBE

Barrel %10.7%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm +0.4% ▲

243 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.314

lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —

359 / 160 PA

wOBA.333

lg avg .315 ▲+.018vs his norm —

359 / 200 PA

Strikeout %23.7%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —

359 / 60 PA

Walk %7.8%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —

359 / 120 PA

BABIP.284

lg avg .295 ▼−.011vs his norm −.036 ▼BABIP is below his ~.320 norm — expect it to rise.

243 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —

359 / 50 PA

Chase %32.5%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.0%vs his norm —

359 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 10.7%→10.5%signal1 HR — Barrel% 10.7% (signal) tempered to career ~10.3% → projected 10.5%.

BABIP 0.284→0.255 regressednoise.217 AVG — BABIP 0.284 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.243 (xBA 0.238) → 0.255.

on-base + lineup6 R — his run rate over ~38 projected PA.

slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~38 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 34 G) over ~38 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons