MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Engraved portrait of Ramón Laureano
206 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Ramón Laureano

SD·LF
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.312); strikeout rate 32% is stable and high, caps the floor; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSHR 4AVG .200R 17RBI 16SB 5

Laureano is a hold — league average, but strikeouts trending wrong.

His expected wOBA sits at .312, which is right around the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. But the supporting picture is getting worse. His strikeout rate is 31.6%, well above the league average of 22%, and that number has been stepping up across the sample, which caps his floor. His walk rate and exit velocity are near league average, so there is no skill pop to offset the whiffs. His actual wOBA is .291, below his xwOBA, but not by enough to say bad luck is the story — it is within the margin. He is what he is, and the direction is not promising. Hold. 4 HR / 17 R / 16 RBI / 5 SB / .200 AVG is a streaming-only line, and this hold means you can cut if a better option appears.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %14.3%—+2.1% ▲vs his ~12.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.312)
  • k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.0 mph
88.0 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.0 mphvs his norm —
119 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.2%
41.2%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
119 / 50 BBE
Barrel %14.3%
norm14.3%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+6.3%vs his norm +2.1% ▲
119 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.312
.312*
lg avg .315 ▼−.003vs his norm —
206 / 160 PA
wOBA.291
.291*
lg avg .315 ▼−.024vs his norm —
206 / 200 PA
Strikeout %31.6%
31.6%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+9.6%vs his norm —
206 / 60 PA
Walk %9.7%
9.7%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
206 / 120 PA
BABIP.268
norm.268*
lg avg .295 ▼−.027vs his norm −.058 ▼BABIP is below his ~.326 norm — expect it to rise.
119 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.7%
15.7%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —
206 / 50 PA
Chase %32.7%
32.7%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —
206 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 14.3%→13.0%signal4 HR — Barrel% 14.3% (signal) tempered to career ~12.2% → projected 13.0%.
BABIP 0.268→0.282 regressednoise.200 AVG — BABIP 0.268 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.284 (xBA 0.222) → 0.282.
on-base + lineup17 R — his run rate over ~154 projected PA.
slugging + lineup16 RBI — his RBI rate over ~154 projected PA.
run rate / role5 SB — his steal rate (7 in 53 G) over ~154 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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