119 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Rob Refsnyder
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.249); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .163R 11RBI 13SB 0
Refsnyder is a hold — league average, limited data.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .117 YTD → .163 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.5%—−2.0% ▼vs his ~8.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.249)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.9 mphvs his norm —
77 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.2%vs his norm —
77 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm −2.0% ▼
77 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.249
lg avg .315 ▼−.066vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
119 / 160 PA
wOBA.195
lg avg .315 ▼−.120vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
119 / 200 PA
Strikeout %26.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.9%vs his norm —
119 / 60 PA
Walk %5.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
119 / 120 PA
BABIP.151
lg avg .295 ▼−.144vs his norm −.186 ▼BABIP is below his ~.337 norm — expect it to rise.
77 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
119 / 50 PA
Chase %24.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —
119 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.5%→7.9%signal3 HR — Barrel% 6.5% (signal) lifted to career ~8.5% → projected 7.9%.
BABIP 0.151→0.222 regressednoise.163 AVG — BABIP 0.151 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.169) → 0.222.
on-base + lineup11 R — his run rate over ~140 projected PA.
slugging + lineup13 RBI — his RBI rate over ~140 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 37 G) over ~140 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.