343 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Seiya Suzuki
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.328) — BABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 5AVG .240R 24RBI 18SB 0
Suzuki is a hold — league average, stable, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects HR 7 YTD → 5 ROS, AVG .244 YTD → .240 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %9.2%—−3.8% ▼vs his ~13.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.328)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph 0.0 mphvs his norm —
217 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %40.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
217 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm −3.8% ▼
217 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.328
lg avg .315 ▲+.013vs his norm —
343 / 160 PA
wOBA.350
lg avg .315 ▲+.035vs his norm —
343 / 200 PA
Strikeout %25.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —
343 / 60 PA
Walk %10.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —
343 / 120 PA
BABIP.327
lg avg .295 ▲+.032vs his norm −.002 ▼BABIP is below his ~.329 norm — expect it to rise.
217 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —
343 / 50 PA
Chase %23.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−5.5%vs his norm —
343 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.2%→11.0%signal5 HR — Barrel% 9.2% (signal) lifted to career ~13.0% → projected 11.0%.
BABIP 0.327→0.308 regressednoise.240 AVG — BABIP 0.327 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.301 (xBA 0.251) → 0.308.
on-base + lineup24 R — his run rate over ~186 projected PA.
slugging + lineup18 RBI — his RBI rate over ~186 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 46 G) over ~186 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.