122 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Shay Whitcomb
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 29% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.265); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Whitcomb is a hold — the punchouts are the whole profile
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .118 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.265)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.3 mphvs his norm —
83 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.3%vs his norm —
83 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
83 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.265
lg avg .315 ▼−.050vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
122 / 160 PA
wOBA.249
lg avg .315 ▼−.066vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
122 / 200 PA
Strikeout %28.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —
122 / 60 PA
Walk %3.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.2%vs his norm —
122 / 120 PA
BABIP.260
lg avg .295 ▼−.035vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
83 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm —
122 / 50 PA
Chase %34.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.1%vs his norm —
122 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.8%→10.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 10.8% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 10.2%.
BABIP 0.260→0.342 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.260 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.352 (xBA 0.214) → 0.342.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 14 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.