MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
637 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Steven Kwan

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.328); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Kwan is a hold — league-average skill, no luck pulling the line

His expected wOBA is .328, just .013 above the league average of .315, and he has 637 plate appearances against the 160 it takes for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .334, tracking right with it, so nothing unstable is inflating or dragging the line. The xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample, which is the one directional note worth holding onto. The shape of the profile is unusual: an 83.9 mph average exit velocity and a 10.5% hard-hit rate are both well below league, yet he strikes out only 9.7% of the time and walks 13.3%, a combination that keeps him productive without thump. There is no edge to buy and no cliff to sell. Hold. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line leaves him a drop/waiver name; the steadiness alone can't offset a zero counting line.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %0.4%—−1.4% ▼vs his ~1.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.328)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo83.9 mph
83.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−5.1 mphvs his norm —
485 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %10.5%
10.5%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−29.5%vs his norm —
485 / 50 BBE
Barrel %0.4%
norm0.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−7.6%vs his norm −1.4% ▼
485 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.328
.328*
lg avg .315 ▲+.013vs his norm —
637 / 160 PA
wOBA.334
.334*
lg avg .315 ▲+.019vs his norm —
637 / 200 PA
Strikeout %9.7%
9.7%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−12.3%vs his norm —
637 / 60 PA
Walk %13.3%
13.3%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.8%vs his norm —
637 / 120 PA
BABIP.312
norm.312*
lg avg .295 ▲+.017vs his norm +.019 ▲BABIP is above his ~.293 norm — expect it to fall.
485 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %2.9%
2.9%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−8.1%vs his norm —
637 / 50 PA
Chase %19.8%
19.8%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−8.7%vs his norm —
637 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 0.4%→0.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 0.4% (signal) lifted to career ~1.8% → projected 0.8%.
BABIP 0.312→0.309 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.312 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.306 (xBA 0.277) → 0.309.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 55 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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