234 PA · week 10
this weekSELL
last week—
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Steven Kwan
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Kwan is a sell — his bat is below league and it's real.
His expected wOBA is .297, which is .018 below the league average of .315, and that number is reliable at 234 plate appearances. His actual wOBA is .280, even lower, so there is no bad-luck story here — the skill is the problem. His average exit velocity is 82.2 mph, more than six mph below league average, and his hard-hit rate is 8.7%, a full 31 points below the league mark. His barrel rate is 0.6%, nearly nonexistent. The only plus is his 14.5% walk rate, but a bat this weak cannot support even league-average production. And the trajectory is getting worse: his expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample. There's no bounce coming. Sell.
Sell
med0.59
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo82.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−6.8 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL173 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %8.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−31.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL173 / 50 BBE
Barrel %0.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−7.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL173 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.297
lg avg .315 ▼−.018trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL234 / 160 PA
wOBA.280
lg avg .315 ▼−.035trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL234 / 200 PA
Strikeout %10.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−11.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL234 / 60 PA
Walk %14.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+6.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL234 / 120 PA
BABIP.231
lg avg .295 ▼−.064too early to trust
NOISE173 / 800 BIP