MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
568 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last week

Steven Kwan

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.321); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSAVG .265HR 0R 5RBI 2SB 0

Kwan is a hold — elite bat control, no power payoff.

His expected wOBA is .321, about as close to the league average of .315 as a skill metric gets, and 568 plate appearances is well past the point where that number is reliable. His actual wOBA of .324 tracks right with it, so nothing lucky is inflating the line and nothing unlucky is dragging it. The shape of the profile is lopsided: he strikes out just 9.9% of the time, walks 12.9%, and chases only 20.4% of pitches, all far better than league. But the contact is soft — 83.6 mph average exit velocity, a 9.9% hard-hit rate, and 0.5% barrels, all well below league. His expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample, which is the only movement worth watching. He gets on base and does not do damage. Hold. 0 HR / 5 R / 2 RBI / 0 SB / .265 AVG is a deep-league hold — empty-category drag, not a drop.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %0.5%−1.3%vs his ~1.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.321)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo83.6 mph
83.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −5.4 mphvs his norm —
434 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %9.9%
9.9%*
lg avg 40.0% −30.1%vs his norm —
434 / 50 BBE
Barrel %0.5%
norm0.5%*
lg avg 8.0% −7.5%vs his norm −1.3%
434 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.321
.321*
lg avg .315 +.006vs his norm —
568 / 160 PA
wOBA.324
.324*
lg avg .315 +.009vs his norm —
568 / 200 PA
Strikeout %9.9%
9.9%*
lg avg 22.0% −12.1%vs his norm —
568 / 60 PA
Walk %12.9%
12.9%*
lg avg 8.5% +4.4%vs his norm —
568 / 120 PA
BABIP.304
norm.304*
lg avg .295 +.009vs his norm +.011 BABIP is above his ~.293 normexpect it to fall.
434 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %3.1%
3.1%*
lg avg 11.0% −7.9%vs his norm —
568 / 50 PA
Chase %20.4%
20.4%*
lg avg 28.5% −8.1%vs his norm —
568 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 0.5%→0.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 0.5% (signal) lifted to career ~1.8% → projected 0.9%.
BABIP 0.304→0.302 regressednoise.265 AVG — BABIP 0.304 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.299 (xBA 0.271) → 0.302.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~44 projected PA.
slugging + lineup2 RBI — his RBI rate over ~44 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 55 G) over ~44 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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