121 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Thomas Saggese
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.310); BABIP 0.351 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .228R 4RBI 1SB 0
Saggese is a hold — league average, nothing unstable pulling it.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .167 YTD → .228 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %10.3%—+5.1% ▲vs his ~5.2% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.310)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.351 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.8 mphvs his norm —
78 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
78 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm +5.1% ▲
78 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.310
lg avg .315 ▼−.005vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
121 / 160 PA
wOBA.338
lg avg .315 ▲+.023vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
121 / 200 PA
Strikeout %27.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.3%vs his norm —
121 / 60 PA
Walk %8.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
121 / 120 PA
BABIP.351
lg avg .295 ▲+.056vs his norm +.006 ▲BABIP is above his ~.345 norm — expect it to fall.
78 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.4%vs his norm —
121 / 50 PA
Chase %35.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.6%vs his norm —
121 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.3%→6.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 10.3% (signal) tempered to career ~5.2% → projected 6.6%.
BABIP 0.351→0.328 regressednoise.228 AVG — BABIP 0.351 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.326 (xBA 0.235) → 0.328.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~32 projected PA.
slugging + lineup1 RBI — his RBI rate over ~32 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 30 G) over ~32 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.