73 PA · week 13
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Tim Tawa
data as of June 22, 2026·week 13
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.262); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .195HR 4R 16RBI 22SB 0
Tawa is a hold — solid K and chase skills, limited data.
ROS projects AVG .167 YTD → .195 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.262)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.6 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
47 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %31.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.1%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is below the ~40.0% league average — expect it to rise.
47 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.9%vs his norm −7.2% ▼Barrel % is below his ~9.3% norm — expect it to rise.
47 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.262
lg avg .315 ▼−.053vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
73 / 160 PA
wOBA.241
lg avg .315 ▼−.074vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
73 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —
73 / 60 PA
Walk %12.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.8%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
73 / 120 PA
BABIP.205
lg avg .295 ▼−.090vs his norm −.047 ▼BABIP is below his ~.252 norm — expect it to rise.
47 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —
73 / 50 PA
Chase %30.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.4%vs his norm —
73 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.1%→7.9%noise4 HR — Barrel% 2.1% (noise) lifted to career ~9.3% → projected 7.9%.
BABIP 0.205→0.240 regressednoise.195 AVG — BABIP 0.205 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.242 (xBA 0.200) → 0.240.
on-base + lineup16 R — his run rate over ~194 projected PA.
slugging + lineup22 RBI — his RBI rate over ~194 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 30 G) over ~194 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.