74 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Turner Hill
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.333); BABIP 0.315 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .235HR 0R 4RBI 9SB 0
Hill is a hold — weak contact offset by elite bat control
ROS projects AVG .167 YTD → .235 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.333)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.315 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.2 mphvs his norm —
54 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %29.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.4%vs his norm —
54 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —Barrel % is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
54 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.333
lg avg .315 ▲+.018vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
74 / 160 PA
wOBA.339
lg avg .315 ▲+.024vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
74 / 200 PA
Strikeout %12.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−9.8%vs his norm —
74 / 60 PA
Walk %12.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
74 / 120 PA
BABIP.315
lg avg .295 ▲+.020vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
54 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %3.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−7.4%vs his norm —
74 / 50 PA
Chase %19.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−8.6%vs his norm —
74 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.7%→4.6%noise0 HR — Barrel% 3.7% (noise) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 4.6%.
BABIP 0.315→0.342 regressednoise.235 AVG — BABIP 0.315 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.344 (xBA 0.258) → 0.342.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~35 projected PA.
slugging + lineup9 RBI — his RBI rate over ~35 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~35 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.