MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
237 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Tyrone Taylor

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.310); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Taylor is a hold — average skill, nothing forcing a move.

His expected wOBA is .310, five points under the league average of .315, and he has the plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .354, but that gap is not a skill story — his expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, so the surface line is running ahead of what his contact supports. The contact itself is ordinary to slightly soft: 86.8 mph average exit velocity against a league average of 89.0, and a 34.3% hard-hit rate well below league. He does make plenty of contact — a 16.9% strikeout rate and a 10.1% swinging-strike rate, both better than league — but he walks in just 5.9% of plate appearances. Nothing here is unstable enough to buy or sell against. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %8.8%—+3.0% ▲vs his ~5.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.310)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.8 mph
86.8 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.2 mphvs his norm —
181 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %34.3%
34.3%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.7%vs his norm —
181 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.8%
norm8.8%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm +3.0% ▲
181 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.310
.310*
lg avg .315 ▼−.005vs his norm —
237 / 160 PA
wOBA.354
.354*
lg avg .315 ▲+.039vs his norm —
237 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.9%
16.9%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.1%vs his norm —
237 / 60 PA
Walk %5.9%
5.9%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
237 / 120 PA
BABIP.289
norm.289*
lg avg .295 ▼−.006vs his norm +.000 ▲BABIP is above his ~.289 norm — expect it to fall.
181 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.1%
10.1%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —
237 / 50 PA
Chase %34.7%
34.7%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.2%vs his norm —
237 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.8%→7.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 8.8% (signal) tempered to career ~5.8% → projected 7.2%.
BABIP 0.289→0.276 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.289 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.272 (xBA 0.245) → 0.276.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 43 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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