87 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Victor Bericoto
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 10-DAY IL
new call
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.285); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .235R 0RBI 0SB 0
Bericoto is a hold — contact is real, the line has no edge.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .167 YTD → .235 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.285)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.2 mphvs his norm —
62 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %50.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+10.0%vs his norm —
62 / 50 BBE
Barrel %12.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.9%vs his norm —
62 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.285
lg avg .315 ▼−.030vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
87 / 160 PA
wOBA.289
lg avg .315 ▼−.026vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
87 / 200 PA
Strikeout %27.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.6%vs his norm —
87 / 60 PA
Walk %1.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−7.4%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
87 / 120 PA
BABIP.293
lg avg .295 ▼−.002vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
62 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %17.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+6.2%vs his norm —
87 / 50 PA
Chase %42.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+14.3%vs his norm —
87 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 12.9%→11.9%signal1 HR — Barrel% 12.9% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 11.9%.
BABIP 0.293→0.330 regressednoise.235 AVG — BABIP 0.293 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.333 (xBA 0.222) → 0.330.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~23 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~23 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 6 G) over ~23 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.