149 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Weston Wilson
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 33% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.256); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .186R 4RBI 2SB 1
Wilson is a hold — league average, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .231 YTD → .186 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %4.8%—−7.5% ▼vs his ~12.3% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.256)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.4 mphvs his norm —
83 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm —
83 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm −7.5% ▼
83 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.256
lg avg .315 ▼−.059vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
149 / 160 PA
wOBA.276
lg avg .315 ▼−.039vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
149 / 200 PA
Strikeout %32.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+10.9%vs his norm —
149 / 60 PA
Walk %10.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.2%vs his norm —
149 / 120 PA
BABIP.278
lg avg .295 ▼−.017vs his norm −.031 ▼BABIP is below his ~.309 norm — expect it to rise.
83 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.0%vs his norm —
149 / 50 PA
Chase %25.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —
149 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.8%→10.1%signal1 HR — Barrel% 4.8% (signal) lifted to career ~12.3% → projected 10.1%.
BABIP 0.278→0.235 regressednoise.186 AVG — BABIP 0.278 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.183) → 0.235.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~29 projected PA.
slugging + lineup2 RBI — his RBI rate over ~29 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (2 in 21 G) over ~29 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.