130 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Yoán Moncada
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 35% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.269); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Moncada is a hold — league average, with a strikeout problem attached
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .189 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %7.6%—−4.3% ▼vs his ~11.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.269)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.3 mphvs his norm —
66 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %40.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
66 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm −4.3% ▼
66 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.269
lg avg .315 ▼−.046vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
130 / 160 PA
wOBA.281
lg avg .315 ▼−.034vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
130 / 200 PA
Strikeout %34.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+12.6%vs his norm —
130 / 60 PA
Walk %13.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.6%vs his norm —
130 / 120 PA
BABIP.286
lg avg .295 ▼−.009vs his norm −.039 ▼BABIP is below his ~.325 norm — expect it to rise.
66 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm —
130 / 50 PA
Chase %21.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−7.4%vs his norm —
130 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.6%→10.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.6% (signal) lifted to career ~11.9% → projected 10.9%.
BABIP 0.286→0.235 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.286 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.169) → 0.235.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 41 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.