704 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Zach Neto
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.317); strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor — BABIP 0.320 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Neto is a hold — league-average skill with a strikeout problem
ROS projects HR 10 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .231 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %11.9%—+1.4% ▲vs his ~10.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.317)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.320 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.9 mphvs his norm —
405 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —
405 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.9%vs his norm +1.4% ▲
405 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.317
lg avg .315 ▲+.002vs his norm —
704 / 160 PA
wOBA.336
lg avg .315 ▲+.021vs his norm —
704 / 200 PA
Strikeout %30.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+8.5%vs his norm —
704 / 60 PA
Walk %9.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
704 / 120 PA
BABIP.320
lg avg .295 ▲+.025vs his norm +.024 ▲BABIP is above his ~.296 norm — expect it to fall.
405 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.5%vs his norm —
704 / 50 PA
Chase %36.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+8.4%vs his norm —
704 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.9%→11.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 11.9% (signal) tempered to career ~10.5% → projected 11.4%.
BABIP 0.320→0.292 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.320 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.263 (xBA 0.216) → 0.292.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (8 in 60 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.