626 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Zach Neto
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.307); strikeout rate 31% is stable and high, caps the floor — BABIP 0.323 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .205R 7RBI 4SB 1
Neto is a hold — average skill, no luck driving the line.
ROS projects HR 10 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .231 YTD → .205 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %11.4%—+0.9% ▲vs his ~10.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.323 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.7 mphvs his norm —
368 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %40.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
368 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.4%vs his norm +0.9% ▲
368 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.307
lg avg .315 ▼−.008vs his norm —
626 / 160 PA
wOBA.332
lg avg .315 ▲+.017vs his norm —
626 / 200 PA
Strikeout %30.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+8.7%vs his norm —
626 / 60 PA
Walk %8.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —
626 / 120 PA
BABIP.323
lg avg .295 ▲+.028vs his norm +.027 ▲BABIP is above his ~.296 norm — expect it to fall.
368 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.9%vs his norm —
626 / 50 PA
Chase %37.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+9.0%vs his norm —
626 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.4%→11.1%signal1 HR — Barrel% 11.4% (signal) tempered to career ~10.5% → projected 11.1%.
BABIP 0.323→0.288 regressednoise.205 AVG — BABIP 0.323 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.259 (xBA 0.213) → 0.288.
on-base + lineup7 R — his run rate over ~45 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~45 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (8 in 60 G) over ~45 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.