423 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Zach Neto
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.312); strikeout rate 31% is stable and high, caps the floor; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 7AVG .198R 31RBI 20SB 6
Neto is a hold — league average skill, no edge to exploit.
ROS projects HR 10 YTD → 7 ROS, AVG .231 YTD → .198 ROS, R 42 YTD → 31 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %13.0%—+2.5% ▲vs his ~10.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.312)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.5 mphvs his norm —
239 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm —
239 / 50 BBE
Barrel %13.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.0%vs his norm +2.5% ▲
239 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.312
lg avg .315 ▼−.003vs his norm —
423 / 160 PA
wOBA.339
lg avg .315 ▲+.024vs his norm —
423 / 200 PA
Strikeout %31.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+9.4%vs his norm —
423 / 60 PA
Walk %10.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —
423 / 120 PA
BABIP.309
lg avg .295 ▲+.014vs his norm +.013 ▲BABIP is above his ~.296 norm — expect it to fall.
239 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.4%vs his norm —
423 / 50 PA
Chase %36.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+7.6%vs his norm —
423 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 13.0%→11.9%signal7 HR — Barrel% 13.0% (signal) tempered to career ~10.5% → projected 11.9%.
BABIP 0.309→0.263 regressednoise.198 AVG — BABIP 0.309 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.244 (xBA 0.203) → 0.263.
on-base + lineup31 R — his run rate over ~205 projected PA.
slugging + lineup20 RBI — his RBI rate over ~205 projected PA.
run rate / role6 SB — his steal rate (8 in 60 G) over ~205 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.