Rest of Season Projection
A.J.CategoryMike
6HR →7
25R →42
19RBI →28
13SB ←2
.251AVG ←.231
Current Season
A.J.CategoryMike
1HR →3
8R →25
6RBI →17
4SB ←1
.224AVG →.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
A.J. Ewing
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.335)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Mike Yastrzemski
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.293 below league with no luck excuse
A.J. Ewing: 6 HR / 25 R. Mike Yastrzemski: 7 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).